La scuola delle quote

Poland v Albania

Inizio: 2026-03-26 19:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Poland (Casa)

Previsione 58.71%1.70quota equa
EV -2.53%
Vantaggio -1.53%
Kelly -3.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.26%58.79%58.72%60.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.611.611.6664.52%62.12%62.11%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Albania (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.35%6.52quota equa
EV +7.43%
Vantaggio +1.06%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescita +0.092%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.51%15.32%15.43%17.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.406.026.007.0018.52%16.61%16.67%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.94%3.86quota equa
EV -0.136%
Vantaggio -0.035%
Kelly -0.048%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.58%25.89%25.85%27.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.623.623.8529.41%27.62%27.62%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.23%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +7.43%E +1.06%K +1.24%G +0.092%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 19:38
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.09%EV -3.71%E -2.26%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.57%EV +2.06%E +0.309%K +0.364%G +0.007%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.55%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 19:34
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.03%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -0.245%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.136%E -0.035%K -0.048%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 19:35
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.42%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.72%EV -0.245%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 19:34
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.14%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -1.78%E -0.278%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 19:35
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 59.14%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -1.78%E -0.278%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 19:35
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 15.19%EV -2.09%E -0.327%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.37%EV -0.914%E -0.239%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 19:34
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.40%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 15.13%EV -2.24%E -0.352%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.47%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 19:30
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -7.23%E -4.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -4.08%E -0.653%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 19:38
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.96%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -6.38%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -1.43%E -0.377%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:39
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.75%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.27%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 19:40
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 18:43
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 19:35
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 19:29
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 19:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 19:25
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 19:39
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.64%E -4.18%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-26 19:25
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 19:25
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 19:35
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 19:35
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 19:34
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.06%EV -8.99%E -5.80%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.52%EV -9.45%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-26 19:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.70%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -10.99%E -1.89%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.70%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -10.99%E -1.89%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 19:34
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 19:10
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 19:40
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -7.23%E -4.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-26 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.90%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -14.06%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 19:34
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.90%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -14.06%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 19:34
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.59%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.74%EV -14.06%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -1.43%E -0.377%K -0.512%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 19:40
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -15.59%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 19:24
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -7.23%E -4.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -17.13%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 19:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.55%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-03-26 19:40
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-03-26 19:40