L’École des cotes

Poland v Albania

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Poland (Local)

Prévision 58.71%1.70cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -3.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.26%58.79%58.72%60.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.611.611.6664.52%62.12%62.11%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Albania (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.35%6.52cote équitable
EV +7.43%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.092%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.51%15.32%15.43%17.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.026.007.0018.52%16.61%16.67%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.94%3.86cote équitable
EV -0.136%
Avantage -0.035%
Kelly -0.048%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.58%25.89%25.85%27.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.623.623.8529.41%27.62%27.62%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.23%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +7.43%E +1.06%K +1.24%G +0.092%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 19:38
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.09%EV -3.71%E -2.26%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.57%EV +2.06%E +0.309%K +0.364%G +0.007%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.55%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 19:34
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.03%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -0.245%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.136%E -0.035%K -0.048%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 19:35
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.42%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.72%EV -0.245%E -0.038%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 19:34
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.14%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -1.78%E -0.278%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 19:35
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 59.14%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -1.78%E -0.278%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 19:35
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 15.19%EV -2.09%E -0.327%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.37%EV -0.914%E -0.239%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-26 19:34
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.40%EV -3.12%E -1.89%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 15.13%EV -2.24%E -0.352%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.47%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 19:30
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -7.23%E -4.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -4.08%E -0.653%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 19:38
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.96%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -6.38%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -1.43%E -0.377%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 19:39
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.75%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.27%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 19:40
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.32%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 18:43
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 19:35
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 19:29
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 19:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 19:25
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 19:39
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.64%E -4.18%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-26 19:25
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 19:25
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 19:35
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 19:35
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -7.92%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.81%E -3.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 19:34
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.06%EV -8.99%E -5.80%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.52%EV -9.45%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-26 19:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.70%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -10.99%E -1.89%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.70%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -10.99%E -1.89%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 19:34
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 19:10
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.92%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 19:40
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -7.23%E -4.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -11.75%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.21%E -2.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-26 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.90%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -14.06%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 19:34
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.90%EV -4.88%E -3.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -14.06%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 19:34
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.59%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.74%EV -14.06%E -2.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -1.43%E -0.377%K -0.512%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 19:40
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -15.59%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.03%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 19:24
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -7.23%E -4.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.07%EV -17.13%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -2.73%E -0.728%K -0.993%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 19:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%0.5%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.55%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.6%2026-03-26 19:40
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-03-26 19:40