Language:English
Kosovo v Turkey
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kosovo (Local)
Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV -0.839%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.280%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.27%24.68%24.69%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.743.734.0028.17%26.76%26.85%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Turkey (Visit)
Prediction 48.27%2.07fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.996%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.26%48.42%48.31%50.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.941.952.0355.56%51.46%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.94%3.71fair odd
EV -0.306%
Edge -0.083%
Kelly -0.113%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.69%26.90%27.00%28.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.443.403.7030.77%29.04%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kosovo (Local): 24.79%; Turkey (Visit): 48.27%; Draw: 26.94%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.306%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%EV -0.839%E -0.210%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.46%EV -2.02%E -0.996%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%EV -1.65%E -0.453%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -0.839%E -0.210%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.03%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -0.306%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -0.839%E -0.210%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -11.67%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.60%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.47%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.27%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.34%EV -2.73%E -0.756%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -8.78%E -4.64%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 23:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.17%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.57%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.26%EV -5.96%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.35%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -3.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -3.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -3.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -3.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -2.50%E -1.24%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -7.04%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -2.50%E -1.24%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -7.04%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.04%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 23:12 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 23:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.15%EV -8.78%E -4.64%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.25%EV -10.01%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.46%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.88%E -3.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 23:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-28 01:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-27 23:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.43%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -13.12%E -7.29%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -5.88%E -3.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 23:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.38% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |