L’École des cotes

Kosovo v Turkey

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-31 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kosovo (Local)

Prévision 24.79%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.839%
Avantage -0.210%
Kelly -0.280%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.27%24.68%24.69%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.743.734.0028.17%26.76%26.85%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Turkey (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.27%2.07cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.996%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.26%48.42%48.31%50.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.941.952.0355.56%51.46%51.28%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.94%3.71cote équitable
EV -0.306%
Avantage -0.083%
Kelly -0.113%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.69%26.90%27.00%28.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.443.403.7030.77%29.04%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%EV -0.839%E -0.210%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.46%EV -2.02%E -0.996%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%EV -1.65%E -0.453%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.7%2026-03-27 23:15
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -0.839%E -0.210%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.03%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -0.306%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 23:15
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -0.839%E -0.210%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -11.67%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 23:50
Marathon Bet3.94I 25.38%NM 24.60%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.47%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 23:14
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.27%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.34%EV -2.73%E -0.756%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:15
Betclic (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -8.78%E -4.64%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 23:13
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 23:50
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:20
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -3.00%E -0.833%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 23:50
Pinnacle3.78I 26.46%NM 25.17%EV -6.29%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.57%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.26%EV -5.96%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:25
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 23:15
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.35%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 23:15
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -3.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 23:15
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -3.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 23:15
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -3.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 23:15
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -3.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 23:15
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -2.50%E -1.24%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -7.04%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 23:10
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -2.50%E -1.24%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -7.04%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 23:10
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.04%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:12
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.43%E -2.24%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 23:20
ReBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.15%EV -8.78%E -4.64%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.25%EV -10.01%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-27 23:15
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.46%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 23:15
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:15
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:10
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.88%E -3.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.69%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:20
Dabble (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 23:10
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-28 01:54
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 23:15
Parions Sport (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 23:14
NetBet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.71%E -5.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.43%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-27 23:40
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -13.12%E -7.29%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-27 23:50
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -5.88%E -3.02%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 23:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-03-27 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-03-27 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-03-27 23:30
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-03-27 23:50