The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Czechia v Ireland

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Czechia (Local)

Prediction 48.03%2.08fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.992%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.90%48.03%48.04%48.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.961.952.0452.63%50.96%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ireland (Visit)

Prediction 23.96%4.17fair odd
EV -0.571%
Edge -0.138%
Kelly -0.181%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.11%23.99%23.89%25.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.903.904.1527.03%25.64%25.64%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.01%3.57fair odd
EV -0.273%
Edge -0.077%
Kelly -0.107%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.10%27.98%28.06%28.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.353.353.5631.25%29.83%29.85%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Czechia (Local): 48.03%; Ireland (Visit): 23.96%; Draw: 28.01%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.56, with an expected value of -0.273%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.62%EV -2.02%E -0.992%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.10%EV -7.28%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.29%EV -0.273%E -0.077%K -0.107%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-26 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.08%EV -3.46%E -1.72%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -1.39%E -0.396%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.39%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.32%EV -0.571%E -0.138%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-26 19:39
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.36%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.36%EV -0.811%E -0.196%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.28%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-26 19:30
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.74%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 19:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 19:38
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 19:24
ReBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.25%EV -4.42%E -2.22%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -3.07%E -0.889%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 18:49
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -4.90%E -2.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 19:25
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -4.90%E -2.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 19:25
Coolbet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.68%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -0.571%E -0.138%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 07:40
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -5.87%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 19:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 17:35
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 17:35
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 19:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 18:55
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 18:55
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:25
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-26 19:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 17:35
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 17:34
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.66%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.79%E -4.06%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 19:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 19:16
NetBet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 19:36
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 19:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-03-26 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-03-26 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-03-26 19:30
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-03-26 19:40