L’École des cotes

Czechia v Ireland

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Czechia (Local)

Prévision 48.03%2.08cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.992%
Kelly -1.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.90%48.03%48.04%48.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.901.961.952.0452.63%50.96%51.28%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ireland (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.96%4.17cote équitable
EV -0.571%
Avantage -0.138%
Kelly -0.181%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.11%23.99%23.89%25.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.703.903.904.1527.03%25.64%25.64%24.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.01%3.57cote équitable
EV -0.273%
Avantage -0.077%
Kelly -0.107%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.10%27.98%28.06%28.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.353.353.5631.25%29.83%29.85%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.62%EV -2.02%E -0.992%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.10%EV -7.28%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.29%EV -0.273%E -0.077%K -0.107%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-26 19:40
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.08%EV -3.46%E -1.72%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -1.39%E -0.396%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-26 19:35
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.39%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.32%EV -0.571%E -0.138%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-26 19:39
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.36%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.36%EV -0.811%E -0.196%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.28%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-26 19:30
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.74%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-26 19:35
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 19:38
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 19:25
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 19:24
ReBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.25%EV -4.42%E -2.22%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -3.07%E -0.889%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 18:49
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -4.90%E -2.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 19:25
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -4.90%E -2.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 19:25
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.68%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -0.571%E -0.138%K -0.181%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 07:40
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -5.87%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 19:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 17:35
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 17:35
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 19:24
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 19:25
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 19:25
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 18:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 18:55
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 19:24
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 18:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 18:54
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 19:25
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-26 19:25
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.15%E -2.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-26 19:29
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 17:35
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 17:34
Parions Sport (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.66%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-26 19:40
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.79%E -4.06%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 19:39
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.89%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 19:16
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.76%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 19:36
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 19:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-03-26 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-03-26 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-03-26 19:30
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-03-26 19:40