The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Czechia v Denmark

Kickoff: 2026-03-31 18:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Czechia (Local)

Prediction 24.89%4.02fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.559%
Kelly +0.738%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 4.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.50%24.89%24.95%26.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.704.1129.41%26.95%27.03%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denmark (Visit)

Prediction 46.00%2.17fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.47%45.99%46.02%46.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.032.042.1251.81%49.25%48.90%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.11%3.44fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.306%
Kelly -0.433%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.75%29.12%29.04%30.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.12%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Czechia (Local): 24.89%; Denmark (Visit): 46.00%; Draw: 29.11%. For Czechia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.96%EV +2.30%E +0.559%K +0.738%G +0.017%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.58%EV -3.08%E -0.924%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.5%2026-03-27 18:24
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.97%EV +0.803%E +0.198%K +0.263%G +0.002%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.44%EV -3.85%E -1.84%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.59%EV -4.53%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-27 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV +0.803%E +0.198%K +0.263%G +0.002%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.20%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.31%EV -8.61%E -2.74%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 22:40
Pinnacle🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.72%EV -0.193%E -0.048%K -0.064%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.10%EV -8.02%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:10
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -0.441%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.87%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 16:59
Bovada🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -1.69%E -0.427%K -0.572%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.08%EV -6.15%E -3.02%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.13%EV -9.19%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-28 02:05
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 12:54
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 02:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.65%EV -4.82%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 12:54
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 12:54
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 15:54
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.49%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 09:14
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 18:45
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 18:45
TAB🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 15:54
PlayUp🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 15:55
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.23%EV -9.37%E -4.76%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.82%EV -8.02%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 08:09
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -1.04%E -0.306%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 17:14
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 17:14
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 17:13
Dabble (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 15:51
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -8.91%E -4.50%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 09:14
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -11.64%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.95%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-28 02:00
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 17:14
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -8.91%E -4.50%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-27 08:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -8.91%E -4.50%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-27 08:09
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.52%2.7%2026-03-27 23:40