L’École des cotes

Czechia v Denmark

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-31 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Czechia (Local)

Prévision 24.89%4.02cote équitable
EV +2.30%
Avantage +0.559%
Kelly +0.738%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 4.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.50%24.89%24.95%26.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.713.704.1129.41%26.95%27.03%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Denmark (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.00%2.17cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.47%45.99%46.02%46.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.032.042.1251.81%49.25%48.90%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.11%3.44cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.306%
Kelly -0.433%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.75%29.12%29.04%30.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.12%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.11I 24.33%NM 23.96%EV +2.30%E +0.559%K +0.738%G +0.017%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.58%EV -3.08%E -0.924%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.5%2026-03-27 18:24
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.97%EV +0.803%E +0.198%K +0.263%G +0.002%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.44%EV -3.85%E -1.84%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.59%EV -4.53%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-27 18:25
BetOnline.ag4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV +0.803%E +0.198%K +0.263%G +0.002%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.20%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.31%EV -8.61%E -2.74%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 22:40
Pinnacle4.01I 24.94%NM 23.72%EV -0.193%E -0.048%K -0.064%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -5.23%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.10%EV -8.02%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:10
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -0.441%E -0.110%K -0.147%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.87%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 16:59
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -1.69%E -0.427%K -0.572%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.08%EV -6.15%E -3.02%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.13%EV -9.19%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-28 02:05
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 12:54
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 02:00
Betclic (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.07%E -3.50%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.65%EV -4.82%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 12:54
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 12:54
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 15:54
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -2.47%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 15:54
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -2.49%E -0.745%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 09:14
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 18:45
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 18:45
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 18:45
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 18:45
TAB3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.91%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 15:54
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 15:55
ReBet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.23%EV -9.37%E -4.76%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.82%EV -8.02%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 08:09
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -1.04%E -0.306%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 17:15
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.69%E -2.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 17:14
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 17:14
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 17:13
Dabble (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -4.31%E -2.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 15:51
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.40%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -8.91%E -4.50%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -3.95%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-27 09:14
NetBet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -11.64%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.95%EV -11.21%E -5.81%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -11.23%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-28 02:00
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 17:14
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.99%E -4.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 18:30
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -8.91%E -4.50%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-27 08:09
Parions Sport (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -8.91%E -4.50%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.86%E -2.14%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-27 08:09
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.29%E -5.28%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -9.77%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 17:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-03-27 23:25
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.52%2.7%2026-03-27 23:40