Language:English
Bosnia & Herzegovina v Italy
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bosnia & Herzegovina (Local)
Prediction 14.88%6.72fair odd
EV +6.36%
Edge +0.890%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.066%
assuming max odds 7.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.35%14.90%14.91%16.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.166.007.1517.39%16.24%16.67%13.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Italy (Visit)
Prediction 59.97%1.67fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.05%60.02%59.90%61.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.571.6467.57%64.13%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.15%3.98fair odd
EV +0.596%
Edge +0.149%
Kelly +0.199%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.45%25.08%25.19%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.703.704.0028.57%27.03%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bosnia & Herzegovina (Local): 14.88%; Italy (Visit): 59.97%; Draw: 25.15%. For Bosnia & Herzegovina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.35%EV +6.36%E +0.890%K +1.03%G +0.066% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -6.44%E -4.13%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.77%EV -0.926%E -0.139%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%EV -1.64%E -1.00%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%EV -1.92%E -0.492%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-03-27 20:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.43%EV -1.07%E -0.162%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.98%EV -4.04%E -2.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.35%EV -1.82%E -0.276%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.93%EV -5.24%E -3.32%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.73%EV -7.45%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.76%EV -2.56%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.06%EV -3.44%E -2.14%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.18%EV -3.43%E -0.893%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-28 00:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.82%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 15:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-28 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -4.79%E -0.749%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.14%EV -2.84%E -1.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -4.79%E -0.749%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.14%EV -2.84%E -1.75%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -7.03%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.89%EV -8.24%E -5.38%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.18%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 20:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.64%E -4.96%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +0.596%E +0.149%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 20:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -5.24%E -3.32%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.04%E -2.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 17:23 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -8.84%E -5.81%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 20:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -8.84%E -5.81%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 20:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.24%E -5.38%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-27 15:13 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.05%EV -9.44%E -6.25%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-27 20:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.09%EV -12.23%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.17%EV -11.24%E -7.59%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-27 20:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -13.72%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -8.84%E -5.81%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.92%E -0.492%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -14.46%E -2.52%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -4.04%E -2.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -14.46%E -2.52%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -4.04%E -2.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 15:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -14.46%E -2.52%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -5.24%E -3.32%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 15:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -14.46%E -2.52%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -7.04%E -4.54%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-27 14:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.33% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.33% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.33% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-03-27 23:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.50% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.90% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60% | 2.9% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |