L’École des cotes

Bosnia & Herzegovina v Italy

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-31 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bosnia & Herzegovina (Local)

Prévision 14.88%6.72cote équitable
EV +6.36%
Avantage +0.890%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.066%

avec la cote maximale 7.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.35%14.90%14.91%16.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.166.007.1517.39%16.24%16.67%13.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Italy (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.97%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.05%60.02%59.90%61.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.561.571.6467.57%64.13%63.69%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.15%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.596%
Avantage +0.149%
Kelly +0.199%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.45%25.08%25.19%26.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.703.704.0028.57%27.03%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag7.15I 13.99%NM 13.35%EV +6.36%E +0.890%K +1.03%G +0.066%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -6.44%E -4.13%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 22:40
1xBet6.66I 15.02%NM 14.77%EV -0.926%E -0.139%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%EV -1.64%E -1.00%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%EV -1.92%E -0.492%K -0.662%G +0.000%1.6%2026-03-27 20:10
Coolbet6.65I 15.04%NM 14.43%EV -1.07%E -0.162%K -0.190%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.98%EV -4.04%E -2.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 16:59
Pinnacle6.60I 15.15%NM 14.35%EV -1.82%E -0.276%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.93%EV -5.24%E -3.32%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.73%EV -7.45%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 22:40
Marathon Bet6.55I 15.27%NM 14.76%EV -2.56%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.06%EV -3.44%E -2.14%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.18%EV -3.43%E -0.893%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-28 00:50
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.82%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 15:49
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-28 00:10
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-28 00:09
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-28 00:10
NordicBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -4.79%E -0.749%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.14%EV -2.84%E -1.75%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 15:50
Betsson6.40I 15.63%NM 14.97%EV -4.79%E -0.749%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.14%EV -2.84%E -1.75%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 15:50
Betclic (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -7.03%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.89%EV -8.24%E -5.38%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.18%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 20:24
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.64%E -4.96%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +0.596%E +0.149%K +0.199%G +0.001%6.6%2026-03-27 20:25
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -5.24%E -3.32%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 14:59
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 23:50
TAB6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.04%E -2.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 15:49
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 23:50
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 17:25
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 17:23
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 17:25
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-27 17:25
Unibet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -8.84%E -5.81%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 20:25
Parions Sport (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -8.84%E -5.81%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -6.95%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-27 20:25
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.24%E -5.38%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 15:13
ReBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.05%EV -9.44%E -6.25%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-27 20:25
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.74%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.98%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-28 00:10
NetBet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.09%EV -12.23%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.17%EV -11.24%E -7.59%K -23.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-27 20:48
Winamax (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -13.72%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -8.84%E -5.81%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.92%E -0.492%K -0.662%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 20:25
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -14.46%E -2.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -4.04%E -2.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 15:44
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -14.46%E -2.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -4.04%E -2.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 15:49
Dabble (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -14.46%E -2.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -5.24%E -3.32%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 15:50
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -14.46%E -2.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -7.04%E -4.54%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -8.21%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-27 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.33%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-03-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.33%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-03-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.33%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-03-27 23:20
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.50%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.90%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%2.9%2026-03-28 02:15