La scuola delle quote

Wrexham AFC v Chelsea

Inizio: 2026-03-07 17:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Wrexham AFC (Casa)

Previsione 17.68%5.66quota equa
EV +13.13%
Vantaggio +2.05%
Kelly +2.43%
Crescita +0.319%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.50%17.59%17.66%18.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.515.406.4020.00%18.14%18.52%15.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chelsea (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.36%1.66quota equa
EV -2.21%
Vantaggio -1.36%
Kelly -3.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.25%60.49%60.35%64.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.531.541.6270.42%65.38%64.94%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.96%4.55quota equa
EV +3.21%
Vantaggio +0.683%
Kelly +0.867%
Crescita +0.028%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.30%21.93%21.99%24.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.314.304.7027.78%23.19%23.26%21.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +13.13%E +2.05%K +2.43%G +0.319%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -12.47%E -8.60%K -27.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV +1.01%E +0.220%K +0.282%G +0.003%6.3%2026-03-07 17:34
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +13.13%E +2.05%K +2.43%G +0.319%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -12.47%E -8.60%K -27.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV +1.01%E +0.220%K +0.282%G +0.003%6.3%2026-03-07 17:34
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +13.13%E +2.05%K +2.43%G +0.319%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -13.08%E -9.08%K -29.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +13.13%E +2.05%K +2.43%G +0.319%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -13.68%E -9.57%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 17:34
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV +10.48%E +1.68%K +2.00%G +0.209%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -13.68%E -9.57%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 17:35
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.96%EV +7.83%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.120%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 17:40
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.96%EV +7.83%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.120%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 17:40
Pinnacle6.03I 16.58%NM 15.99%EV +6.59%E +1.09%K +1.31%G +0.086%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.38%EV -0.963%E -0.213%K -0.274%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 17:30
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV +6.06%E +1.01%K +1.21%G +0.074%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -8.25%E -5.43%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 17:39
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV +6.06%E +1.01%K +1.21%G +0.074%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -14.28%E -10.06%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 17:34
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV +6.06%E +1.01%K +1.21%G +0.074%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -14.28%E -10.06%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 17:34
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV +2.53%E +0.436%K +0.526%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 17:39
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV +2.53%E +0.436%K +0.526%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 17:40
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV +2.53%E +0.436%K +0.526%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 17:39
LowVig.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV +1.64%E +0.286%K +0.346%G +0.006%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -0.084%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 17:14
BetOnline.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV +1.64%E +0.286%K +0.346%G +0.006%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -0.084%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 17:14
Marathon Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.52%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.59%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 17:39
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.36%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.30%EV +3.21%E +0.683%K +0.867%G +0.028%4.8%2026-03-07 17:00
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 17:40
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 17:40
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.97%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 17:32
Parions Sport (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -10.66%E -7.20%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 17:19
1xBet5.42I 18.45%NM 17.87%EV -4.19%E -0.773%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.21%E -1.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.32%EV -4.70%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 17:39
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -4.54%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 17:35
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -4.54%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 17:34
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -4.54%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:09
FanDuel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -4.54%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 17:38
Fliff5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.81%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98%EV -8.87%E -2.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 17:39
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 17:39
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:34
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:34
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:34
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:39
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -9.85%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 17:39
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -4.92%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 17:39
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 17:39
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 17:40
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 17:39
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 17:39
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 17:39
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 17:40
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 17:29
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 17:29
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -20.95%E -5.82%K -8.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-07 17:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%0.4%2026-03-07 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%0.4%2026-03-07 17:35
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%0.4%2026-03-07 17:40
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-03-07 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-07 17:40
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-03-07 17:35