La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Wrexham AFC v Chelsea
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wrexham AFC (Local)
Predicción 17.68%5.66momio equitativo
EV +13.13%
Ventaja +2.05%
Kelly +2.43%
Crecimiento +0.319%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.50%17.59%17.66%18.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.515.406.4020.00%18.14%18.52%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chelsea (Visitante)
Predicción 60.36%1.66momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -3.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.25%60.49%60.35%64.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.531.541.6270.42%65.38%64.94%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.96%4.55momio equitativo
EV +3.21%
Ventaja +0.683%
Kelly +0.867%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.30%21.93%21.99%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.314.304.7027.78%23.19%23.26%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +13.13%E +2.05%K +2.43%G +0.319% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -12.47%E -8.60%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV +1.01%E +0.220%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| Grosvenor | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +13.13%E +2.05%K +2.43%G +0.319% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -12.47%E -8.60%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV +1.01%E +0.220%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +13.13%E +2.05%K +2.43%G +0.319% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -13.08%E -9.08%K -29.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +13.13%E +2.05%K +2.43%G +0.319% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -13.68%E -9.57%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| LeoVegas | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV +10.48%E +1.68%K +2.00%G +0.209% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -13.68%E -9.57%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.96%EV +7.83%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.120% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.96%EV +7.83%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.120% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 17:40 |
| Pinnacle | 6.03I 16.58%NM 15.99%EV +6.59%E +1.09%K +1.31%G +0.086% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.38%EV -0.963%E -0.213%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 17:30 |
| Unibet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV +6.06%E +1.01%K +1.21%G +0.074% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -8.25%E -5.43%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV +6.06%E +1.01%K +1.21%G +0.074% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -14.28%E -10.06%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV +6.06%E +1.01%K +1.21%G +0.074% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -14.28%E -10.06%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV +2.53%E +0.436%K +0.526%G +0.013% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| Casumo | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV +2.53%E +0.436%K +0.526%G +0.013% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 17:40 |
| betPARX | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV +2.53%E +0.436%K +0.526%G +0.013% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV +1.64%E +0.286%K +0.346%G +0.006% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -0.084%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV +1.64%E +0.286%K +0.346%G +0.006% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -0.084%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 17:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.52%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.59%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.36%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.30%EV +3.21%E +0.683%K +0.867%G +0.028% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 17:40 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 17:40 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.97%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 17:32 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -10.66%E -7.20%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| 1xBet | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.87%EV -4.19%E -0.773%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.21%E -1.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.32%EV -4.70%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -4.54%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 17:35 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -4.54%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -4.54%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 17:09 |
| FanDuel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -4.54%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 17:38 |
| Fliff | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.81%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98%EV -8.87%E -2.14%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| Neds | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| DraftKings | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -9.85%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -4.92%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 17:39 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 17:40 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 17:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -20.95%E -5.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-07 17:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 17:35 |
| Matchbook | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 17:40 |
| Kalshi | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 17:35 |