L’École des cotes

Wrexham AFC v Chelsea

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wrexham AFC (Local)

Prévision 17.68%5.66cote équitable
EV +13.13%
Avantage +2.05%
Kelly +2.43%
Croissance +0.319%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.50%17.59%17.66%18.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.515.406.4020.00%18.14%18.52%15.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chelsea (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.36%1.66cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -3.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.25%60.49%60.35%64.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.531.541.6270.42%65.38%64.94%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.96%4.55cote équitable
EV +3.21%
Avantage +0.683%
Kelly +0.867%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.30%21.93%21.99%24.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.314.304.7027.78%23.19%23.26%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +13.13%E +2.05%K +2.43%G +0.319%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -12.47%E -8.60%K -27.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV +1.01%E +0.220%K +0.282%G +0.003%6.3%2026-03-07 17:34
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +13.13%E +2.05%K +2.43%G +0.319%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -12.47%E -8.60%K -27.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV +1.01%E +0.220%K +0.282%G +0.003%6.3%2026-03-07 17:34
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +13.13%E +2.05%K +2.43%G +0.319%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -13.08%E -9.08%K -29.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +13.13%E +2.05%K +2.43%G +0.319%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -13.68%E -9.57%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 17:34
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV +10.48%E +1.68%K +2.00%G +0.209%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -13.68%E -9.57%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 17:35
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.96%EV +7.83%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.120%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 17:40
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.96%EV +7.83%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.120%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 17:40
Pinnacle6.03I 16.58%NM 15.99%EV +6.59%E +1.09%K +1.31%G +0.086%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.38%EV -0.963%E -0.213%K -0.274%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 17:30
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV +6.06%E +1.01%K +1.21%G +0.074%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -8.25%E -5.43%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 17:39
Virgin Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV +6.06%E +1.01%K +1.21%G +0.074%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -14.28%E -10.06%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 17:34
LiveScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV +6.06%E +1.01%K +1.21%G +0.074%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -14.28%E -10.06%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 17:34
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV +2.53%E +0.436%K +0.526%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 17:39
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV +2.53%E +0.436%K +0.526%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 17:40
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV +2.53%E +0.436%K +0.526%G +0.013%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 17:39
LowVig.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV +1.64%E +0.286%K +0.346%G +0.006%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -0.084%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 17:14
BetOnline.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV +1.64%E +0.286%K +0.346%G +0.006%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -0.084%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 17:14
Marathon Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.52%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.59%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 17:39
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.36%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.30%EV +3.21%E +0.683%K +0.867%G +0.028%4.8%2026-03-07 17:00
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 17:40
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 17:40
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.97%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 17:32
Parions Sport (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -2.78%E -0.505%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -10.66%E -7.20%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 17:19
1xBet5.42I 18.45%NM 17.87%EV -4.19%E -0.773%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.21%E -1.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.32%EV -4.70%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 17:39
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -4.54%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 17:35
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -4.54%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 17:34
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -4.54%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -3.38%E -0.768%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:09
FanDuel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -4.54%E -0.841%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 17:38
Fliff5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -6.31%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.81%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.98%EV -8.87%E -2.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 17:39
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -4.63%E -2.93%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 17:39
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:34
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:34
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:34
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -7.20%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:39
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -9.85%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 17:39
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -4.92%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 17:39
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.23%E -3.33%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 17:39
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -1.18%E -0.263%K -0.338%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 17:40
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -7.04%E -4.57%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -5.57%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 17:39
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 17:39
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 17:39
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.44%E -4.15%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 17:40
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 17:29
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 17:29
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.64%E -5.00%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -11.61%E -2.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -9.45%E -6.30%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -20.95%E -5.82%K -8.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-07 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%0.4%2026-03-07 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%0.4%2026-03-07 17:35
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%0.4%2026-03-07 17:40
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-03-07 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-07 17:40
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-03-07 17:35