Language:English
West Ham United v Leeds United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
West Ham United (Local)
Prediction 32.41%3.09fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.374%
Kelly -0.556%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.82%32.45%32.37%33.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.883.0537.04%34.65%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leeds United (Visit)
Prediction 38.98%2.57fair odd
EV -0.217%
Edge -0.085%
Kelly -0.139%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.00%38.91%39.00%40.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.402.5645.45%41.53%41.67%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.61%3.50fair odd
EV +2.14%
Edge +0.598%
Kelly +0.831%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.16%28.65%28.63%29.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.273.303.5734.72%30.62%30.30%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Ham United (Local): 32.41%; Leeds United (Visit): 38.98%; Draw: 28.61%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.76%EV -4.06%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.07%EV -5.67%E -2.34%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16%EV +2.14%E +0.598%K +0.831%G +0.018% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.73%EV -3.59%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.76%EV -1.46%E -0.482%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.82%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-05 15:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.03%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.55%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.04%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.46%EV -5.67%E -2.34%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 15:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.35%EV -1.79%E -0.590%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.29%EV -0.217%E -0.085%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.35%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%EV -5.28%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%EV -5.28%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%EV -5.28%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%EV -5.28%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.85%EV -5.28%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 15:23 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.82%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -3.34%E -1.34%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 15:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.57%E -4.13%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.57%E -4.13%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.48%E -4.62%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.48%E -4.62%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 15:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -9.18%E -3.94%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 15:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 15:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 15:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -14.25%E -6.48%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -17.61%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-05 15:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 15:20 |