L’École des cotes

West Ham United v Leeds United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

West Ham United (Local)

Prévision 32.41%3.09cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.374%
Kelly -0.556%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.82%32.45%32.37%33.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.892.883.0537.04%34.65%34.72%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leeds United (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.98%2.57cote équitable
EV -0.217%
Avantage -0.085%
Kelly -0.139%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.00%38.91%39.00%40.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.412.402.5645.45%41.53%41.67%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.61%3.50cote équitable
EV +2.14%
Avantage +0.598%
Kelly +0.831%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 3.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.16%28.65%28.63%29.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.303.5734.72%30.62%30.30%28.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.76%EV -4.06%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.07%EV -5.67%E -2.34%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16%EV +2.14%E +0.598%K +0.831%G +0.018%3.1%2026-04-05 15:24
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 15:25
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 15:25
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 15:15
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 14:50
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 14:49
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -1.14%E -0.374%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.73%EV -3.59%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 15:25
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.76%EV -1.46%E -0.482%K -0.718%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.82%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 15:18
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.03%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.55%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 15:10
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 32.04%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.46%EV -5.67%E -2.34%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 15:09
Coolbet3.03I 33.00%NM 32.35%EV -1.79%E -0.590%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.29%EV -0.217%E -0.085%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.35%EV -4.45%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-05 15:05
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 15:09
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%EV -5.28%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 15:24
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%EV -5.28%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 15:24
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%EV -5.28%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 15:25
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.38%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.06%EV -5.28%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 15:25
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.85%EV -5.28%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 15:24
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 15:25
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 15:23
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.50%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 14:50
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.82%EV -6.06%E -2.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 15:15
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 15:10
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.86%E -3.95%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 15:15
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.07%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%EV -3.34%E -1.34%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 15:25
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 15:05
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 15:25
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 15:24
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 15:24
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -2.76%E -0.920%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 15:10
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 15:09
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.65%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -7.23%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 15:10
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.62%E -2.67%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 15:25
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.57%E -4.13%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 15:24
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.57%E -4.13%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 15:25
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.48%E -4.62%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.48%E -4.62%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 15:15
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 15:24
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.88%EV -9.18%E -3.94%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 15:25
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 15:05
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 15:09
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 15:09
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.45%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -9.24%E -3.30%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -14.25%E -6.48%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -17.61%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-05 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-04-05 15:25
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-04-05 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-04-05 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-04-05 15:25
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-04-05 15:25
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-05 15:20