Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Ham United v Brentford

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Ham United (Local)

Prediction 25.95%3.85fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.307%
Kelly +0.413%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.74%25.97%25.99%27.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.653.9029.41%27.33%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brentford (Visit)

Prediction 47.73%2.10fair odd
EV -0.718%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.665%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.77%47.73%47.72%49.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0854.64%51.38%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.32%3.80fair odd
EV +0.015%
Edge +0.004%
Kelly +0.006%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.09%26.30%26.29%27.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.593.603.8032.26%27.85%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Ham United (Local): 25.95%; Brentford (Visit): 47.73%; Draw: 26.32%. For West Ham United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV +1.20%E +0.307%K +0.413%G +0.005%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.55%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV +0.015%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV +1.20%E +0.307%K +0.413%G +0.005%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.55%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV +0.015%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 19:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV +1.20%E +0.307%K +0.413%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 18:55
Pinnacle🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -0.617%E -0.161%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.54%EV -5.01%E -2.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.25%EV -3.14%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 19:20
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.76%EV -1.40%E -0.367%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.06%EV -0.718%E -0.345%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-09 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.40%E -0.367%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.14%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.40%E -0.367%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.14%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 19:24
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.40%E -0.367%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -8.83%E -4.62%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -2.62%E -0.707%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 19:25
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -1.40%E -0.367%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -9.79%E -5.18%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.707%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 19:24
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -1.40%E -0.367%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -9.79%E -5.18%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.707%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 19:25
1xBet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -1.91%E -0.507%K -0.689%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -5.01%E -2.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -0.511%E -0.135%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 19:24
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.49%E -2.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 19:04
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 19:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:25
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:25
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 19:15
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 19:14
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -11.70%E -6.32%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -11.70%E -6.32%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:24
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -11.70%E -6.32%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.27%EV -5.03%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.60%EV -3.58%E -1.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.13%EV -3.14%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 19:25
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.29%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 19:25
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.29%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.29%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 19:05
Everygame🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 19:24
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:20
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:20
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:20
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.62%E -0.707%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 19:14
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.62%E -0.707%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 19:25
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -3.58%E -1.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 19:24
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -3.58%E -1.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.40%E -3.81%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 19:05
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.83%E -4.62%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 19:24
Fliff🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -10.74%E -5.74%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-09 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.49%E -2.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -1.30%E -0.347%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 19:25
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 19:15
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:09
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:09
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:09
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.74%E -5.74%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-09 19:24
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.62%E -0.707%K -0.969%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -12.65%E -6.91%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -18.41%E -5.94%K -8.77%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-09 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-03-09 19:25
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-03-09 19:25
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-03-09 19:25
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-03-09 19:25