La escuela de los momios

West Ham United v Brentford

Inicio: 2026-03-09 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

West Ham United (Local)

Predicción 25.95%3.85momio equitativo
EV +1.20%
Ventaja +0.307%
Kelly +0.413%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.74%25.97%25.99%27.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.663.653.9029.41%27.33%27.40%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Brentford (Visitante)

Predicción 47.73%2.10momio equitativo
EV -0.718%
Ventaja -0.345%
Kelly -0.665%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.77%47.73%47.72%49.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.951.952.0854.64%51.38%51.28%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.32%3.80momio equitativo
EV +0.015%
Ventaja +0.004%
Kelly +0.006%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.09%26.30%26.29%27.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.593.603.8032.26%27.85%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV +1.20%E +0.307%K +0.413%G +0.005%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.55%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV +0.015%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 19:25
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV +1.20%E +0.307%K +0.413%G +0.005%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.55%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV +0.015%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 19:25
Parions Sport (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV +1.20%E +0.307%K +0.413%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 18:55
Pinnacle3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -0.617%E -0.161%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.54%EV -5.01%E -2.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.25%EV -3.14%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 19:20
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.76%EV -1.40%E -0.367%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.06%EV -0.718%E -0.345%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-09 18:35
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.40%E -0.367%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.14%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 19:24
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -1.40%E -0.367%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.14%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 19:24
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.40%E -0.367%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -8.83%E -4.62%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -2.62%E -0.707%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 19:25
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -1.40%E -0.367%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -9.79%E -5.18%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.707%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 19:24
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -1.40%E -0.367%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -9.79%E -5.18%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.707%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 19:25
1xBet3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -1.91%E -0.507%K -0.689%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -5.01%E -2.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -0.511%E -0.135%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 19:24
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.49%E -2.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 19:04
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 19:14
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:25
betPARX3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -10.26%E -5.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-09 19:25
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 19:15
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 19:14
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -11.70%E -6.32%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 19:25
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -11.70%E -6.32%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:24
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.48%EV -11.70%E -6.32%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:24
Marathon Bet3.66I 27.32%NM 26.27%EV -5.03%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.60%EV -3.58%E -1.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.13%EV -3.14%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 19:25
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.29%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 19:25
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.29%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 19:15
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.29%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 19:05
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 19:24
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:20
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:20
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 19:20
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.62%E -0.707%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 19:14
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.62%E -0.707%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 19:25
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -3.58%E -1.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 19:24
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -3.58%E -1.77%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 19:25
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.40%E -3.81%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -5.25%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 19:05
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.83%E -4.62%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 19:24
Fliff3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -10.74%E -5.74%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-09 19:25
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.49%E -2.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -1.30%E -0.347%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 19:25
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 19:15
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:09
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:10
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:09
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 19:09
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.74%E -5.74%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-09 19:24
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.92%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.62%E -0.707%K -0.969%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -12.65%E -6.91%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -18.41%E -5.94%K -8.77%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-09 19:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-03-09 19:25
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-03-09 19:25
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-03-09 19:25
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-03-09 19:25