The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Macclesfield Town v Scarborough Athletic FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:01 UTC

Final: Macclesfield Town 2–2 Scarborough Athletic FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Macclesfield Town (Local)

Prediction 48.91%2.04fair odd
EV -5.61%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.44%49.05%48.95%50.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.881.891.9356.18%53.06%52.91%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Scarborough Athletic FC (Visit)

Prediction 26.44%3.78fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.730%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%26.39%26.35%28.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.383.303.6830.77%29.63%30.30%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.65%4.06fair odd
EV -0.428%
Edge -0.106%
Kelly -0.141%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%24.56%24.70%25.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.643.604.0428.99%27.51%27.78%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Macclesfield Town (Local): 48.91%; Scarborough Athletic FC (Visit): 26.44%; Draw: 24.65%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.04, with an expected value of -0.428%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.61%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -7.45%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.88%E -0.994%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 12:51
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.61%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -14.97%E -4.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.61%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -14.97%E -4.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.61%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -14.97%E -4.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.61%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -14.97%E -4.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.61%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -14.97%E -4.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.61%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -14.97%E -4.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.61%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -14.97%E -4.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.61%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -14.97%E -4.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.61%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -14.97%E -4.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.61%E -2.90%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -14.97%E -4.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -8.77%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.11%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 11:10
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.58%E -3.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -1.41%E -0.353%K -0.471%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 12:45
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.47%EV -7.56%E -4.00%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.92%EV -2.69%E -0.730%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.61%EV -0.428%E -0.106%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 13:55
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -5.11%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -3.88%E -0.994%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 11:10
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.27%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 11:35
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.27%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 11:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -8.81%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.81%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.81%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.81%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:51
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.52%E -5.14%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.06%E -4.33%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.81%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:55
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.27%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 12:55
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.27%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 12:53
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.27%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 12:50
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.96%E -6.65%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -13.74%E -3.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-03 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.21%EV -12.94%E -7.27%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -11.77%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 13:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.