The School of Odds
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Macclesfield Town v Scarborough Athletic FC

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Macclesfield Town (Local)

Prediction 48.94%2.04fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.68%49.05%48.95%50.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.891.901.9655.87%52.81%52.63%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Scarborough Athletic FC (Visit)

Prediction 26.43%3.78fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.310%
Kelly -0.423%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.50%26.35%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.353.253.7431.25%29.82%30.77%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.63%4.06fair odd
EV +3.45%
Edge +0.822%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.27%24.45%24.70%26.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.604.2029.41%27.56%27.78%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Macclesfield Town (Local): 48.94%; Scarborough Athletic FC (Visit): 26.43%; Draw: 24.63%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.20, producing a positive expected value of +3.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.52%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -14.11%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +3.45%E +0.822%K +1.08%G +0.037%6.9%2026-10-03 12:20
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.95%EV -8.48%E -4.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.47%EV -1.16%E -0.310%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.58%EV -0.488%E -0.121%K -0.161%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 12:59
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -6.52%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -2.70%E -0.685%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 13:05
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.55%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 12:51
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.03%E -3.14%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.17%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.01%E -3.69%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.79%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -8.86%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.46%E -5.11%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.11%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.86%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.46%E -5.11%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.11%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.86%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.46%E -5.11%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.11%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.86%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:51
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.46%E -5.11%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.11%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.86%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.33%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 11:35
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.33%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 11:35
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.91%E -6.62%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.33%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 12:53
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.91%E -6.62%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -4.86%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.33%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 12:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.44%E -5.70%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.33%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.93%EV -12.40%E -6.93%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.11%EV -5.92%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -11.82%E -3.30%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:58
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.91%E -6.62%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -13.79%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-03 13:00
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -15.43%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -15.43%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -15.43%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -15.43%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -15.43%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -15.43%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -15.43%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -15.43%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -15.43%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -15.43%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.25%E -4.78%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.