Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Macclesfield Town v Scarborough Athletic FC

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

Frente a frente

29 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Macclesfield Town (Local)

Previsão 48.97%2.04odd justa
EV -5.48%
Vantagem -2.84%
Kelly -5.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.44%49.12%48.95%50.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.891.901.9356.18%53.04%52.63%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Scarborough Athletic FC (Visitante)

Previsão 26.41%3.79odd justa
EV -1.49%
Vantagem -0.399%
Kelly -0.545%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.83%26.49%26.35%28.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.373.253.7330.77%29.66%30.77%26.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.62%4.06odd justa
EV +6.58%
Vantagem +1.52%
Kelly +1.98%
Crescimento +0.130%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.74%24.40%24.70%25.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.653.604.3328.99%27.40%27.78%23.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Macclesfield Town (Local): 48.97%; Scarborough Athletic FC (Visitante): 26.41%; Empate: 24.62%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.06. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.33, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +6.58%.

Odds das casas de apostas (29 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.29%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV +6.58%E +1.52%K +1.98%G +0.130%6.2%2026-10-03 13:35
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.78%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.59%EV -1.49%E -0.399%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.63%EV -0.554%E -0.137%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 13:15
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -2.77%E -0.701%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 13:05
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.00%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 12:51
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -4.00%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:51
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 11:35
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 11:35
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.85%E -6.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 12:53
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.85%E -6.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 12:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-03 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.21%EV -12.83%E -7.21%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -11.88%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 13:39
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.85%E -6.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -13.85%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-03 13:00
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -15.08%E -4.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -15.08%E -4.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -15.08%E -4.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -15.08%E -4.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -15.08%E -4.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -15.08%E -4.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -15.08%E -4.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -15.08%E -4.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -15.08%E -4.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.44%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.17%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -15.08%E -4.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 13:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.