The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kettering Town FC v Worcester City FC

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kettering Town FC (Local)

Prediction 49.99%2.00fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -2.92%
Kelly -6.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.19%49.99%50.03%50.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.811.8957.80%54.74%55.25%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Worcester City FC (Visit)

Prediction 25.82%3.87fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%25.77%25.83%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.533.503.7029.41%28.36%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.19%4.13fair odd
EV +1.84%
Edge +0.437%
Kelly +0.573%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.64%24.24%24.14%25.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.703.604.2128.57%27.01%27.78%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kettering Town FC (Local): 49.99%; Worcester City FC (Visit): 25.82%; Draw: 24.19%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.21, producing a positive expected value of +1.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.43%EV -5.52%E -2.92%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.93%EV -8.60%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.64%EV +1.84%E +0.437%K +0.573%G +0.011%4.9%2026-10-03 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -6.52%E -3.48%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -0.823%E -0.201%K -0.265%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 11:10
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -6.52%E -3.48%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 12:05
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.06%EV -5.52%E -2.92%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 11:09
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 11:10
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.52%E -3.48%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 12:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -7.02%E -3.77%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -9.02%E -4.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.52%E -4.65%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.52%E -4.65%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.52%E -4.65%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.52%E -4.65%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -10.02%E -5.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-03 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.66%EV -10.02%E -5.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 24.42%EV -11.47%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:08
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.52%E -4.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.52%E -4.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-03 11:10
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.02%E -5.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.02%E -5.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:15
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -14.13%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -14.13%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -14.13%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 11:10
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -14.13%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 11:10
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -14.13%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -14.13%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -14.13%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -14.13%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -14.13%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -14.13%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.02%E -5.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-03 11:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -13.52%E -7.81%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.