Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Kettering Town FC v Worcester City FC

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Kettering Town FC (Casa)

Previsione 49.99%2.00quota equa
EV -5.52%
Vantaggio -2.92%
Kelly -6.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.19%49.99%50.03%50.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.831.811.8957.80%54.74%55.25%52.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Worcester City FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.82%3.87quota equa
EV -4.47%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.83%25.77%25.83%26.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.513.453.7029.41%28.49%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.19%4.13quota equa
EV +1.84%
Vantaggio +0.437%
Kelly +0.573%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.64%24.24%24.14%25.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.723.604.2128.57%26.89%27.78%23.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Kettering Town FC (Casa): 49.99%; Worcester City FC (Trasferta): 25.82%; Pareggio: 24.19%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.13. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.21, con un valore atteso positivo del +1.84%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.43%EV -5.52%E -2.92%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.93%EV -8.60%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.64%EV +1.84%E +0.437%K +0.573%G +0.011%4.9%2026-10-03 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -6.52%E -3.48%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -0.823%E -0.201%K -0.265%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 11:10
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -6.52%E -3.48%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 12:05
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.06%EV -5.52%E -2.92%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 11:09
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.24%E -0.810%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 11:10
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -6.52%E -3.48%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.76%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 12:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -7.02%E -3.77%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -9.02%E -4.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.52%E -4.65%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.52%E -4.65%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.52%E -4.65%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.52%E -4.65%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.21%E -3.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -10.02%E -5.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-03 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.66%EV -10.02%E -5.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 24.42%EV -11.47%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:08
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.52%E -4.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.52%E -4.06%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-03 11:10
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.02%E -5.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.02%E -5.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:15
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 13:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 13:30
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 13:31
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 13:31
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 13:31
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 13:31
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 13:31
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.32%EV -9.52%E -5.26%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.92%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 13:30
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.02%E -5.56%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-03 11:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -13.52%E -7.81%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -9.63%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.