Language:English
Fakenham Town FC v Ware FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fakenham Town FC (Local)
Prediction 32.44%3.08fair odd
EV +0.564%
Edge +0.182%
Kelly +0.268%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.28%32.70%32.56%36.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.503.1040.00%38.18%40.00%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ware FC (Visit)
Prediction 44.30%2.26fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.445%
Kelly +0.792%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.15%43.67%44.31%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.202.282.2850.00%45.40%43.86%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.26%4.30fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.727%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.43%23.63%23.12%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.703.554.2028.17%27.02%28.17%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fakenham Town FC (Local): 32.44%; Ware FC (Visit): 44.30%; Draw: 23.26%. For Ware FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.03%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 40.76%EV -2.09%E -0.944%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.21%EV -9.77%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 18:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -17.28%E -6.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -2.53%E -1.15%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV +0.564%E +0.182%K +0.268%G +0.002% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -16.28%E -4.52%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.21%EV -17.28%E -6.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.76%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.30%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.57%E -2.28%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.86%EV -6.96%E -3.31%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.33%E -0.554%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 17:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.58%EV -7.40%E -3.54%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.29%E -4.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.59%EV -3.72%E -0.899%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.17%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -11.39%E -5.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-08 17:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -11.39%E -5.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -16.28%E -4.52%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-08 18:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.