语言:简体中文
Fakenham Town FC v Ware FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fakenham Town FC (主队)
预测 32.44%3.08公平赔率
EV +0.564%
优势 +0.182%
Kelly +0.268%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.28%32.70%32.56%36.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.622.503.1040.00%38.18%40.00%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ware FC (客队)
预测 44.30%2.26公平赔率
EV +1.01%
优势 +0.445%
Kelly +0.792%
增长率 +0.008%
假设最高赔率为 2.28
博彩公司预测分布
39.15%43.67%44.31%45.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.202.282.2850.00%45.40%43.86%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.26%4.30公平赔率
EV -2.33%
优势 -0.554%
Kelly -0.727%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.43%23.63%23.12%26.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.553.703.554.2028.17%27.02%28.17%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fakenham Town FC (主队)：32.44%；Ware FC (客队)：44.30%；平局：23.26%。 对于“Ware FC (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.26。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.28，对应+1.01%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV +1.01%E +0.445%K +0.792%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -17.44%E -4.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.03%EV -18.90%E -7.56%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 40.76%EV -2.09%E -0.944%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.21%EV -9.77%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 18:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -17.28%E -6.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -2.53%E -1.15%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV +0.564%E +0.182%K +0.268%G +0.002% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -16.28%E -4.52%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.21%EV -17.28%E -6.78%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.76%EV -4.75%E -2.21%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.30%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.57%E -2.28%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.86%EV -6.96%E -3.31%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.33%E -0.554%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 17:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.58%EV -7.40%E -3.54%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.92%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.29%E -4.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.59%EV -3.72%E -0.899%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.17%E -3.27%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -11.39%E -5.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-08 17:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -11.39%E -5.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -16.28%E -4.52%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-08 18:44 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。