Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cray Wanderers FC v Chippenham Town FC

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cray Wanderers FC (Local)

Prediction 52.30%1.91fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.53%52.19%52.28%54.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.701.671.8560.98%58.78%59.88%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chippenham Town FC (Visit)

Prediction 24.78%4.04fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.388%
Kelly +0.513%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.17%25.07%24.56%28.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.743.854.1030.30%26.77%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.92%4.36fair odd
EV +3.14%
Edge +0.698%
Kelly +0.898%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.85%22.74%23.17%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.024.004.5027.78%24.90%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cray Wanderers FC (Local): 52.30%; Chippenham Town FC (Visit): 24.78%; Draw: 22.92%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.50, producing a positive expected value of +3.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -18.23%E -5.53%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +3.14%E +0.698%K +0.898%G +0.028%6.6%2026-10-03 13:05
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.71%EV -5.33%E -2.95%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.85%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.44%EV +2.00%E +0.448%K +0.578%G +0.012%4.8%2026-10-03 12:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -3.37%E -0.863%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +0.850%E +0.193%K +0.250%G +0.002%5.8%2026-10-03 12:20
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.73%E -0.889%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 12:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.43%E -4.20%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV +1.59%E +0.388%K +0.513%G +0.008%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -6.03%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 12:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -0.889%E -0.222%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -11.09%E -6.52%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -14.23%E -8.67%K -22.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -14.23%E -8.67%K -22.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -14.23%E -8.67%K -22.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -14.23%E -8.67%K -22.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -14.23%E -8.67%K -22.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -14.23%E -8.67%K -22.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -14.23%E -8.67%K -22.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -14.23%E -8.67%K -22.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -14.23%E -8.67%K -22.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -14.23%E -8.67%K -22.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -12.66%E -7.58%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-03 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -12.66%E -7.58%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-03 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -12.66%E -7.58%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -8.32%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-03 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.28%EV -10.56%E -6.18%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 24.56%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.16%EV -11.53%E -2.99%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 12:30
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -18.23%E -5.53%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.90%E -3.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-03 12:29
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-03 12:39
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -14.05%E -3.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-03 12:36
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.28%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -17.49%E -4.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-03 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.