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Cray Wanderers FC v Chippenham Town FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cray Wanderers FC (Local)
Prediction 52.86%1.89fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -6.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.83%52.80%53.26%54.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.691.701.8060.98%59.10%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chippenham Town FC (Visit)
Prediction 24.51%4.08fair odd
EV +0.494%
Edge +0.121%
Kelly +0.159%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.17%24.72%24.16%27.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.763.854.1029.41%26.59%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.63%4.42fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.403%
Kelly +0.518%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.73%22.49%22.58%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.034.004.5026.67%24.84%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cray Wanderers FC (Local): 52.86%; Chippenham Town FC (Visit): 24.51%; Draw: 22.63%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.75%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV +1.81%E +0.403%K +0.518%G +0.009% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -16.66%E -4.90%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +1.81%E +0.403%K +0.518%G +0.009% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.97%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -6.96%E -3.95%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.08%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.97%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -9.07%E -5.28%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -4.97%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV +0.494%E +0.121%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -7.24%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -6.96%E -3.95%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.24%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.55%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.21%E -4.06%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.50%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.30%E -8.11%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.50%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.30%E -8.11%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.50%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.30%E -8.11%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.50%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.30%E -8.11%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.50%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.30%E -8.11%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.50%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.30%E -8.11%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.50%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.30%E -8.11%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.50%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.30%E -8.11%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.50%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.30%E -8.11%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.50%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.30%E -8.11%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.50%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.19%EV -11.19%E -6.66%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 23.89%EV -8.33%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.76%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -11.76%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -11.76%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -11.76%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.28%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -15.15%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-03 13:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.28%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -15.15%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -11.72%E -7.02%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -15.15%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.