預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Cray Wanderers FC v Chippenham Town FC

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

獨贏

25 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

53%

25%

23%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Cray Wanderers FC (主隊)

預測 52.67%1.90公平賠率

EV -4.66%

優勢 -2.58%

Kelly -5.76%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.81

博彩公司預測分布

49.53%52.54%52.95%54.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.641.701.671.8160.98%58.91%59.88%55.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Chippenham Town FC (客隊)

預測 24.52%4.08公平賠率

EV +0.544%

優勢 +0.133%

Kelly +0.175%

成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 4.10

博彩公司預測分布

23.17%24.78%24.05%27.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

3.303.753.854.1030.30%26.70%25.97%24.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 22.80%4.39公平賠率

EV +2.62%

優勢 +0.583%

Kelly +0.749%

成長率 +0.020%

假設最高賠率為 4.50

博彩公司預測分布

20.73%22.68%23.00%24.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

3.604.024.004.5027.78%24.88%25.00%22.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為：Cray Wanderers FC (主隊)：52.67%；Chippenham Town FC (客隊)：24.52%；和局：22.80%。對於「和局」，該估計相當於4.39的公平十進位賠率。有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率；目前最佳賠率為4.50，因此產生+2.62%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (25 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	和局 ▼	利潤率	更新時間
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -5.19%E -2.88%K -6.49%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -16.62%E -4.89%K -6.93%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +2.62%E +0.583%K +0.749%G +0.020%	7.2%	2026-10-03 13:40
1xBet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.71%EV -4.66%E -2.58%K -5.76%G +0.000%	3.69I 27.10%NM 25.85%EV -9.51%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.44%EV +1.48%E +0.333%K +0.430%G +0.006%	4.8%	2026-10-03 13:38
BetMGM🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -8.35%E -4.80%K -11.28%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.36%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +0.342%E +0.078%K +0.101%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-03 12:20
Bovada🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.19%E -2.88%K -6.49%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-03 12:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.77%E -3.82%K -8.79%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV +0.544%E +0.133%K +0.175%G +0.001%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -6.50%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-03 12:35
Codere (IT)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.82%E -4.47%K -10.43%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.91%E -0.477%K -0.636%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -10.46%E -6.15%K -14.94%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.62%E -8.30%K -21.28%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.62%E -8.30%K -21.28%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-03 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.62%E -8.30%K -21.28%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-03 11:10
Casumo🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.62%E -8.30%K -21.28%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-03 11:10
Grosvenor🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.62%E -8.30%K -21.28%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.62%E -8.30%K -21.28%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-03 11:10
TABtouch🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.62%E -8.30%K -21.28%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-03 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.62%E -8.30%K -21.28%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-03 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.62%E -8.30%K -21.28%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-03 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -13.62%E -8.30%K -21.28%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-10-03 11:10
Neds🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -12.04%E -7.21%K -17.97%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.72%E -3.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-10-03 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -12.04%E -7.21%K -17.97%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.72%E -3.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-10-03 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -12.04%E -7.21%K -17.97%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.72%E -3.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-10-03 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -12.04%E -7.21%K -17.97%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.81%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%	3.92I 25.51%NM 22.84%EV -10.60%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-10-03 13:39
BoyleSports🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -5.19%E -2.88%K -6.49%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -19.07%E -5.78%K -8.29%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -13.34%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-10-03 12:29
betano_uk🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.88%E -5.13%K -12.16%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.72%E -3.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -14.48%E -3.86%K -5.27%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-10-03 12:39
Bet Victor🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.88%E -5.13%K -12.16%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.72%E -3.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -14.48%E -3.86%K -5.27%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-10-03 12:36
betfred_uk🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -8.88%E -5.13%K -12.16%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -14.17%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -17.90%E -4.97%K -6.89%G +0.000%	14.2%	2026-10-03 12:45

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。