La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Chelsea v Leeds United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chelsea (Local)
Predicción 45.00%2.22momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.26%44.90%44.88%56.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.672.062.082.1659.88%48.49%48.19%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leeds United (Visitante)
Predicción 28.32%3.53momio equitativo
EV +35.95%
Ventaja +7.49%
Kelly +9.46%
Crecimiento +3.40%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.59%28.48%28.41%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.403.304.8033.90%29.45%30.30%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.68%3.75momio equitativo
EV +4.05%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.40%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.11%26.62%26.71%28.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.533.503.9033.33%28.37%28.57%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -24.85%E -14.88%K -37.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +35.95%E +7.49%K +9.46%G +3.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +4.05%E +1.04%K +1.40%G +0.057% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 14:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -24.85%E -14.88%K -37.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +35.95%E +7.49%K +9.46%G +3.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +4.05%E +1.04%K +1.40%G +0.057% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.91%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.42%EV +0.544%E +0.153%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.91%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.42%EV +0.544%E +0.153%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.65%EV -2.80%E -1.30%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.85%EV +0.261%E +0.074%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.50%EV -0.754%E -0.203%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-04-23 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.99%EV -6.85%E -3.31%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.99%EV -6.85%E -3.31%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Casumo | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.99%EV -6.85%E -3.31%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| betPARX | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.99%EV -6.85%E -3.31%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.84%EV -1.44%E -0.413%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.47%EV -2.35%E -0.643%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 08:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.77%EV -5.05%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -2.00%E -0.579%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -2.09%E -0.569%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 03:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.77%EV -5.05%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -2.00%E -0.579%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -2.09%E -0.569%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 03:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.86%EV -5.05%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -2.29%E -0.663%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.08%EV -1.02%E -0.275%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.40%E -3.08%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -2.29%E -0.663%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.40%E -3.08%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -2.29%E -0.663%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -7.30%E -3.55%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.29%E -0.663%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -8.20%E -4.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -2.29%E -0.663%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -8.20%E -4.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -2.29%E -0.663%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 14:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 01:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -9.10%E -4.51%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -10.00%E -5.00%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -11.35%E -5.76%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.47%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 11:38 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 14:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 12:58 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 19:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 19:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.81%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.55%EV +0.580%E +0.154%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 19:39 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 19:40 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:51 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 14:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 14:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 14:04 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.00%E -5.00%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.00%E -5.00%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.00%E -5.00%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 14:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 19:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -10.00%E -5.00%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -19.96%E -6.65%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.29%E -0.348%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 19:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -16.45%E -5.58%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 19:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96% | 0.2% | 2026-04-23 22:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29% | 1.8% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |