مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chelsea v Leeds United

البداية: 2026-04-26 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chelsea (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.00%2.22السعر العادل
EV -2.80%
الأفضلية -1.30%
Kelly -2.42%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.26%44.90%44.88%56.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.672.062.082.1659.88%48.49%48.19%46.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Leeds United (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.32%3.53السعر العادل
EV +35.95%
الأفضلية +7.49%
Kelly +9.46%
النمو +3.40%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.59%28.48%28.41%31.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.403.304.8033.90%29.45%30.30%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.68%3.75السعر العادل
EV +4.05%
الأفضلية +1.04%
Kelly +1.40%
النمو +0.057%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.11%26.62%26.71%28.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.533.503.9033.33%28.37%28.57%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -24.85%E -14.88%K -37.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +35.95%E +7.49%K +9.46%G +3.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +4.05%E +1.04%K +1.40%G +0.057%6.4%2026-04-09 14:53
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -24.85%E -14.88%K -37.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +35.95%E +7.49%K +9.46%G +3.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +4.05%E +1.04%K +1.40%G +0.057%6.4%2026-04-09 14:54
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.91%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.42%EV +0.544%E +0.153%K +0.213%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 12:59
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.91%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.42%EV +0.544%E +0.153%K +0.213%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 12:55
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.65%EV -2.80%E -1.30%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.85%EV +0.261%E +0.074%K +0.103%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.50%EV -0.754%E -0.203%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-23 08:10
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.99%EV -6.85%E -3.31%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:55
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.99%EV -6.85%E -3.31%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:00
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.99%EV -6.85%E -3.31%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:55
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 45.99%EV -6.85%E -3.31%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:55
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.84%EV -1.44%E -0.413%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.47%EV -2.35%E -0.643%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 08:04
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.77%EV -5.05%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -2.00%E -0.579%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -2.09%E -0.569%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 03:49
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 45.77%EV -5.05%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -2.00%E -0.579%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -2.09%E -0.569%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 03:54
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.86%EV -5.05%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -2.29%E -0.663%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.08%EV -1.02%E -0.275%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 16:54
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.40%E -3.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -2.29%E -0.663%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 17:09
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.40%E -3.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -2.29%E -0.663%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 17:09
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -7.30%E -3.55%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.29%E -0.663%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:55
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -8.20%E -4.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -2.29%E -0.663%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:55
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -8.20%E -4.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -2.29%E -0.663%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:55
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 14:04
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 01:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -9.10%E -4.51%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:55
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -10.00%E -5.00%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:54
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -11.35%E -5.76%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 12:55
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 44.47%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 08:19
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:39
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:38
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 14:04
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 12:58
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:00
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 19:39
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:40
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.81%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.55%EV +0.580%E +0.154%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.8%2026-04-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 19:39
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 19:40
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:51
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:05
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:04
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:04
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 14:04
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.00%E -5.00%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 23:35
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.00%E -5.00%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:55
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.00%E -5.00%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:54
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 14:04
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 19:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -10.00%E -5.00%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -19.96%E -6.65%K -9.98%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 17:14
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.29%E -0.348%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 19:39
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -16.45%E -5.58%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 19:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96%0.2%2026-04-23 22:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-24 01:45
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-04-23 22:49
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-23 21:05