The School of Odds
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Brentwood Town FC v Dagenham and Redbridge FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brentwood Town FC (Local)

Prediction 20.89%4.79fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -0.783%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.69%20.95%20.86%23.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.174.204.6525.64%23.99%23.81%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dagenham and Redbridge FC (Visit)

Prediction 56.65%1.77fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -4.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.32%56.82%56.36%59.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.651.7164.94%61.22%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.46%4.45fair odd
EV +3.31%
Edge +0.720%
Kelly +0.921%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.68%22.24%22.77%24.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.013.954.6026.67%24.94%25.32%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brentwood Town FC (Local): 20.89%; Dagenham and Redbridge FC (Visit): 56.65%; Draw: 22.46%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -10.49%E -6.64%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +3.31%E +0.720%K +0.921%G +0.031%7.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.77%EV -12.76%E -8.29%K -23.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV +3.31%E +0.720%K +0.921%G +0.031%10.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -16.44%E -4.11%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV +1.07%E +0.237%K +0.305%G +0.003%7.8%2026-10-03 11:25
1xBet🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 23.80%EV -17.90%E -4.55%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.70%EV -3.13%E -1.83%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -2.30%E -0.529%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 11:18
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -11.21%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.26%EV -12.76%E -8.29%K -23.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -2.30%E -0.529%K -0.687%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 11:20
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.90%E -0.848%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 11:09
Bovada🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -3.90%E -0.848%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.12%EV -7.03%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.39%EV -11.63%E -7.45%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.49%EV -10.61%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-03 11:15
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:10
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -2.86%E -0.614%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -13.53%E -3.51%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-03 11:20
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -2.86%E -0.614%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -13.53%E -3.51%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-03 11:25
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.79%E -5.46%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.65%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-03 11:10
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.79%E -5.46%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.65%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-03 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -15.78%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -15.78%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -15.78%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 11:10
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.79%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -15.78%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-03 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.