Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Brentwood Town FC (Local): 20.89%; Dagenham and Redbridge FC (Visitante): 56.65%; Empate: 22.46%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.45. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.31%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -10.49%E -6.64%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +3.31%E +0.720%K +0.921%G +0.031% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.77%EV -12.76%E -8.29%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV +3.31%E +0.720%K +0.921%G +0.031% | 10.5% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -16.44%E -4.11%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV +1.07%E +0.237%K +0.305%G +0.003% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.80%EV -17.90%E -4.55%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.70%EV -3.13%E -1.83%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -2.30%E -0.529%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 11:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.11%EV -11.21%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.26%EV -12.76%E -8.29%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -2.30%E -0.529%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -7.92%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.90%E -0.848%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -4.26%E -2.52%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 11:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -3.90%E -0.848%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.16%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.12%EV -7.03%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.39%EV -11.63%E -7.45%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.49%EV -10.61%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-03 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -18.52%E -4.75%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%EV -11.28%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -2.86%E -0.614%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -13.53%E -3.51%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -2.86%E -0.614%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.52%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -13.53%E -3.51%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.79%E -5.46%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.65%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.79%E -5.46%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.65%E -3.86%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -15.78%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -15.78%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -15.78%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.79%EV -11.06%E -7.04%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -15.78%E -4.21%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.