Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City

2026-11-07 17:30 UTC — EPL

Testa a testa

26 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Nottingham Forest (Casa)

Previsione 19.57%5.11quota equa
EV +2.74%
Vantaggio +0.522%
Kelly +0.644%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.11%19.67%19.66%22.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.644.755.2526.32%21.55%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Manchester City (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.07%1.72quota equa
EV -1.28%
Vantaggio -0.755%
Kelly -1.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.60%57.99%58.01%60.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.621.611.7065.36%61.89%62.11%58.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.36%4.47quota equa
EV +0.631%
Vantaggio +0.140%
Kelly +0.180%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.17%22.33%22.33%23.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.104.004.5026.32%24.40%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Nottingham Forest (Casa): 19.57%; Manchester City (Trasferta): 58.07%; Pareggio: 22.36%. Per Nottingham Forest (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 5.11. 3 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 5.25, con un valore atteso positivo del +2.74%.

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.77%EV +2.74%E +0.522%K +0.644%G +0.018%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.99%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 22.24%EV -0.935%E -0.211%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-24 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV +2.74%E +0.522%K +0.644%G +0.018%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV +0.631%E +0.140%K +0.180%G +0.001%5.0%2026-10-24 17:55
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV +2.74%E +0.522%K +0.644%G +0.018%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -3.84%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 17:55
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.54%EV -0.197%E -0.039%K -0.048%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.84%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 17:31
FanDuel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -0.197%E -0.039%K -0.048%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -11.16%E -7.29%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -3.84%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 17:31
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.15%E -0.431%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 17:31
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.15%E -0.431%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.15%E -0.431%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 17:31
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.15%E -0.431%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 17:31
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.15%E -0.431%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 17:50
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -6.07%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 17:19
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 17:20
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.98%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 18:01
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.94%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.94%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -14.87%E -3.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -1.28%E -0.755%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -17.81%E -4.24%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -2.44%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 19:35
picklebet_au🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -17.81%E -4.24%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 19:35
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -17.81%E -4.24%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -19.77%E -4.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -3.61%E -2.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -8.31%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 19:35
ReBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -19.77%E -4.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.94%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -11.67%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -19.77%E -4.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.17%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.03%EV -13.23%E -3.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 19:33
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -21.72%E -5.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.76%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -15.02%E -3.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-24 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -25.64%E -6.75%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.60%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -15.02%E -3.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-24 19:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.83%6.0%2026-10-24 19:50
Smarkets◎3.85I 25.97%NM 22.34%1.59I 62.89%NM 54.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56%16.3%2026-10-24 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 24.14%1.12I 89.29%NM 51.72%2.40I 41.67%NM 24.14%72.6%2026-10-24 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 24.14%1.12I 89.29%NM 51.72%2.40I 41.67%NM 24.14%72.6%2026-10-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 24.14%1.12I 89.29%NM 51.72%2.40I 41.67%NM 24.14%72.6%2026-10-24 17:50