Idioma:Español
Nottingham Forest v Manchester City
Resultado del partido
Nottingham Forest (Local)
Predicción 19.57%5.11momio equitativo
EV +2.74%
Ventaja +0.522%
Kelly +0.644%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.11%19.67%19.66%22.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.644.755.2526.32%21.55%21.05%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Manchester City (Visitante)
Predicción 58.07%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.755%
Kelly -1.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.60%57.99%58.01%60.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.621.611.7065.36%61.89%62.11%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.36%4.47momio equitativo
EV +0.631%
Ventaja +0.140%
Kelly +0.180%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.17%22.33%22.33%23.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.104.004.5026.32%24.40%25.00%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Nottingham Forest (Local): 19.57%; Manchester City (Visitante): 58.07%; Empate: 22.36%. Para Nottingham Forest (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.11. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.25, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.74%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (26 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.77%EV +2.74%E +0.522%K +0.644%G +0.018% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.99%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 22.24%EV -0.935%E -0.211%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-10-24 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV +2.74%E +0.522%K +0.644%G +0.018% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV +0.631%E +0.140%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-10-24 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV +2.74%E +0.522%K +0.644%G +0.018% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -3.84%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.54%EV -0.197%E -0.039%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -3.84%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 17:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.12%EV -0.197%E -0.039%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -11.16%E -7.29%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -3.84%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-24 17:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.15%E -0.431%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 17:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.15%E -0.431%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-24 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.15%E -0.431%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 17:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.15%E -0.431%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-24 17:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.15%E -0.431%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-24 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -6.07%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-24 17:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.98%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-24 18:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.94%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-24 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.94%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-24 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -14.87%E -3.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -1.28%E -0.755%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -17.81%E -4.24%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -2.44%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -17.81%E -4.24%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -17.81%E -4.24%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -19.77%E -4.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -3.61%E -2.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -8.31%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -19.77%E -4.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.94%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -11.67%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -19.77%E -4.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.17%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.03%EV -13.23%E -3.41%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-24 19:33 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -21.72%E -5.43%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.76%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -15.02%E -3.95%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -25.64%E -6.75%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.60%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -15.02%E -3.95%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.83% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.34% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 54.09% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56% | 16.3% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 24.14% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 51.72% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 24.14% | 72.6% | 2026-10-24 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 24.14% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 51.72% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 24.14% | 72.6% | 2026-10-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 24.14% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 51.72% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 24.14% | 72.6% | 2026-10-24 17:50 |