Language:English
Manchester City v Sunderland
Head to Head
Manchester City (Local)
Prediction 75.08%1.33fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -10.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.22%75.24%75.03%77.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.251.2982.64%80.56%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sunderland (Visit)
Prediction 9.17%10.90fair odd
EV +19.27%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +1.61%
Growth +0.309%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.23%9.01%9.31%11.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.2510.3310.5013.0013.79%9.68%9.52%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.75%6.35fair odd
EV +2.37%
Edge +0.365%
Kelly +0.432%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.53%15.75%15.66%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.805.756.5019.61%17.25%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Manchester City (Local): 75.08%; Sunderland (Visit): 9.17%; Draw: 15.75%. For Sunderland (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.90. 10 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 13.00, producing a positive expected value of +19.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.09%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.22%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +19.27%E +1.48%K +1.61%G +0.309% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.49%EV -3.15%E -2.44%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 12.70I 7.87%NM 7.77%EV +16.52%E +1.30%K +1.41%G +0.233% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 15.74%EV -1.25%E -0.199%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.96%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +10.10%E +0.841%K +0.918%G +0.093% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -1.56%E -0.250%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.22%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +10.10%E +0.841%K +0.918%G +0.093% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +0.921%E +0.084%K +0.092%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +0.921%E +0.084%K +0.092%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -13.38%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +0.921%E +0.084%K +0.092%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -13.38%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +0.921%E +0.084%K +0.092%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -13.38%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +0.921%E +0.084%K +0.092%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -13.38%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.22%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +0.921%E +0.084%K +0.092%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.53%EV -4.65%E -3.66%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -3.67%E -0.349%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -9.44%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -9.16%E -7.57%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.67%E -0.349%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -5.50%E -0.917%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.08%EV -4.65%E -3.66%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -8.25%E -0.825%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.38%EV -2.35%E -0.379%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.25%E -0.825%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.44%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-05 23:02 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -12.84%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +2.37%E +0.365%K +0.432%G +0.010% | 5.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.83%EV -13.76%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -10.23%E -1.79%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.93%EV -7.66%E -6.23%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.83%EV -15.13%E -1.64%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -11.80%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -17.43%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -9.44%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -6.91%E -5.57%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -17.43%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.38%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.13%EV -9.16%E -7.57%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.17%EV -20.18%E -2.32%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.70%EV -16.53%E -3.12%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -22.02%E -2.59%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -7.08%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.22%EV -9.16%E -7.57%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 11.89%EV -33.48%E -4.62%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.90%EV -19.68%E -3.86%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 71.49% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.00% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.51% | 16.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 33.33% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 33.33% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 33.33% | 125.6% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 30.92% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 34.23% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.85% | 160.8% | 2026-09-05 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 30.92% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 34.23% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.85% | 160.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 30.92% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 34.23% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.85% | 160.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |