Language:English
Liverpool v Manchester City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liverpool (Local)
Prediction 27.28%3.67fair odd
EV +2.57%
Edge +0.684%
Kelly +0.932%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 3.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.51%27.30%27.34%29.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.503.7632.26%28.88%28.57%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Manchester City (Visit)
Prediction 46.87%2.13fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.528%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.72%46.85%46.84%49.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.022.022.1151.55%49.60%49.50%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.85%3.87fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.461%
Kelly -0.626%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.79%25.86%25.81%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.633.8029.41%27.41%27.55%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liverpool (Local): 27.28%; Manchester City (Visit): 46.87%; Draw: 25.85%. For Liverpool (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (70 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.51%EV +2.57%E +0.684%K +0.932%G +0.024% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.19%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.31%EV -2.01%E -0.531%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.36%EV +1.48%E +0.398%K +0.545%G +0.008% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.83%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%EV +0.937%E +0.253%K +0.347%G +0.003% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%EV +0.937%E +0.253%K +0.347%G +0.003% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%EV +0.937%E +0.253%K +0.347%G +0.003% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%EV +0.937%E +0.253%K +0.347%G +0.003% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.69%EV -0.700%E -0.192%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.40%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-11 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.69%EV -0.700%E -0.192%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.40%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-11 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.57%EV -2.34%E -0.653%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.09%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.35%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.22%EV -2.61%E -0.731%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.94%EV -2.99%E -1.44%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.84%EV -2.79%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-11 15:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.76%EV -2.61%E -0.731%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.77%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.16%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.16%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -3.16%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.74%EV -7.68%E -3.90%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.16%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.16%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.96%EV -1.11%E -0.528%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.49%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 14:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.90%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 15:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 15:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 15:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 15:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 15:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 15:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 15:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 15:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 15:17 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.21%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -8.14%E -4.16%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -5.88%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.55%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.88%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -7.21%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 15:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.88%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -8.14%E -4.16%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.22%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -5.88%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.22%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 15:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.52%EV -5.80%E -2.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 15:23 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -9.08%E -4.68%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.22%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.20%EV -8.34%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.99%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.81%EV -5.11%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 15:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 15:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -7.21%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.22%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -9.08%E -4.68%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -1.58%E -0.754%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 15:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -1.58%E -0.754%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 15:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 15:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 15:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 15:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 15:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.21%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 15:03 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.76%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.02%EV -7.21%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 15:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 15:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 15:19 |