默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Liverpool v Manchester City

开赛时间： 2026-10-11 15:30 UTC

最终结果： Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

70 家博彩公司 (23 家纳入分析 )

27%

47%

26%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Liverpool (主队)

预测 27.28%3.67公平赔率

EV +2.57%

优势 +0.684%

Kelly +0.932%

增长率 +0.024%

假设最高赔率为 3.76

博彩公司预测分布

25.51%27.30%27.34%29.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.103.463.503.7632.26%28.88%28.57%26.60%最小值均值中位数最大值

Manchester City (客队)

预测 46.87%2.13公平赔率

EV -1.11%

优势 -0.528%

Kelly -1.00%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.11

博彩公司预测分布

44.72%46.85%46.84%49.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.942.022.022.1151.55%49.60%49.50%47.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.85%3.87公平赔率

EV -1.75%

优势 -0.461%

Kelly -0.626%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布

24.79%25.86%25.81%27.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.403.653.633.8029.41%27.41%27.55%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Liverpool (主队)：27.28%；Manchester City (客队)：46.87%；平局：25.85%。对于“Liverpool (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.67。当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.76，对应+2.57%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (70 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	3.76I 26.60%NM 25.51%EV +2.57%E +0.684%K +0.932%G +0.024%	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.19%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%	3.79I 26.39%NM 25.31%EV -2.01%E -0.531%K -0.721%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-11 15:24
Coolbet🎯	3.72I 26.88%NM 26.36%EV +1.48%E +0.398%K +0.545%G +0.008%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.83%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-10-11 15:24
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%EV +0.937%E +0.253%K +0.347%G +0.003%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-10-11 15:24
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%EV +0.937%E +0.253%K +0.347%G +0.003%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-10-11 15:24
ATG (SE)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%EV +0.937%E +0.253%K +0.347%G +0.003%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-10-11 15:24
Svenska Spel🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%EV +0.937%E +0.253%K +0.347%G +0.003%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-10-11 15:24
LowVig.ag🎯	3.64I 27.47%NM 26.69%EV -0.700%E -0.192%K -0.265%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.40%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-10-11 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.64I 27.47%NM 26.69%EV -0.700%E -0.192%K -0.265%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.40%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-10-11 15:20
FanDuel🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.689%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-11 15:19
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.689%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-11 15:25
Betsson🎯	3.58I 27.93%NM 26.57%EV -2.34%E -0.653%K -0.906%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.09%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%	3.61I 27.70%NM 26.35%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-11 15:25
Pinnacle🎯	3.57I 28.01%NM 27.22%EV -2.61%E -0.731%K -1.02%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.94%EV -2.99%E -1.44%K -2.79%G +0.000%	3.76I 26.60%NM 25.84%EV -2.79%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-10-11 15:20
BetUS🎯	3.57I 28.01%NM 26.76%EV -2.61%E -0.731%K -1.02%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.77%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-11 15:24
Bally Bet🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.16%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-11 15:24
Casumo🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.16%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-11 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -3.16%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.74%EV -7.68%E -3.90%K -7.91%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-11 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.16%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-10-11 15:24
LiveScore Bet🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.16%E -0.889%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-10-11 15:24
Marathon Bet🎯	3.52I 28.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.96%EV -1.11%E -0.528%K -1.00%G +0.000%	3.66I 27.32%NM 26.49%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-10-11 14:54
ReBet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-11 15:24
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.90%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-11 15:24
DraftKings🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-10-11 15:19
BetAnything🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-10-11 15:19
BetRivers🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-11 15:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-11 15:01
NordicBet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-11 15:20
Sky Bet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-11 15:18
BoyleSports🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-11 15:14
theScore Bet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-11 15:20
SportsBet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.33%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 15:15
betano_uk🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-11 15:24
Bet Victor🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-11 15:24
Paddy Power🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-11 15:10
Dabble (AU)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-11 15:24
Everygame🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-11 15:17
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-11 15:20
PlayUp🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.21%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-11 15:24
TAB🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-11 15:25
betPARX🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -8.14%E -4.16%K -8.48%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-10-11 15:24
Betway🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-11 15:24
Codere (IT)🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -5.88%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.55%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-11 15:24
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.88%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -7.21%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-11 15:19
Unibet🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -5.88%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -8.14%E -4.16%K -8.48%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.22%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-10-11 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -5.88%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.22%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-10-11 15:25
Bet Right🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-11 14:55
Bovada🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-11 15:23
Fanatics🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-11 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-11 15:24
Grosvenor🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -4.39%E -2.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-11 15:24
Caesars🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.52%EV -5.80%E -2.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-11 15:23
TABtouch🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -9.08%E -4.68%K -9.66%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.22%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-10-11 15:24
GTbets🎯	3.36I 29.76%NM 28.20%EV -8.34%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.99%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.26%G +0.000%	3.67I 27.25%NM 25.81%EV -5.11%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-11 15:19
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 15:15
NetBet (FR)🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -7.21%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.22%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-10-11 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -9.08%E -4.68%K -9.66%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-10-11 15:20
Fliff🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.61%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-10-11 15:24
Coral🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -1.58%E -0.754%K -1.44%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-11 15:05
betfred_uk🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-11 15:14
William Hill🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -1.58%E -0.754%K -1.44%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-10-11 14:55
Neds🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-11 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-11 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-11 15:04
LeoVegas🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-11 15:24
888sport🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-10-11 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-10-11 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-10-11 15:14
Betr (AU)🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.626%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-11 15:14
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.27%E -3.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-10-11 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.21%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-10-11 15:03
BetMGM🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.76%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 45.02%EV -7.21%E -3.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-10-11 15:05

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司	主队	客队	平局	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Smarkets◎	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%	2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%	3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%	0.6%	2026-10-11 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%	0.7%	2026-10-11 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%	0.7%	2026-10-11 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%	0.7%	2026-10-11 15:20
Matchbook◎	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%	0.7%	2026-10-11 15:25
Kalshi◎	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%	1.1%	2026-10-11 15:15
Polymarket◎	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%	1.1%	2026-10-11 15:19

Liverpool v Manchester City

胜负盘

Liverpool (主队)

Manchester City (客队)

平局

博彩公司赔率 (70 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (7)

博彩交易所 (7)