Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Everton v Ipswich Town

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — EPL

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Everton (Local)

Prediction 56.33%1.78fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.72%56.40%56.28%58.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.661.671.7464.10%60.16%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ipswich Town (Visit)

Prediction 19.13%5.23fair odd
EV +0.073%
Edge +0.014%
Kelly +0.017%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.15%19.07%19.08%20.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.814.755.2323.81%20.81%21.05%19.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.53%4.08fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.342%
Kelly -0.455%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.59%24.53%24.64%25.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.804.0228.57%26.36%26.32%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Everton (Local): 56.33%; Ipswich Town (Visit): 19.13%; Draw: 24.53%. For Ipswich Town (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.226. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.230, producing a positive expected value of +0.073%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.64%EV -1.98%E -1.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.84%EV +0.073%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.52%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.74%E -5.40%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -0.501%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.69%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.82%EV -1.46%E -0.283%K -0.351%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.48%EV -2.85%E -0.719%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.46%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -2.41%E -0.473%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -9.31%E -5.78%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -2.41%E -0.473%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -8.74%E -5.40%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.74%E -5.40%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -6.24%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -6.24%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -8.15%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:02
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -10.07%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.03%EV -8.74%E -5.40%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -10.07%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.66%EV -9.72%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.75%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.95%EV -10.43%E -6.56%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -8.74%E -5.40%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.22%EV -12.12%E -7.77%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.27%EV -12.90%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 34.15%1.39I 71.94%NM 33.16%1.41I 70.92%NM 32.69%116.9%2026-09-06 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 32.52%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.74%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.74%179.6%2026-09-05 23:05