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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Everton v Ipswich Town

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — EPL

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Everton (主队)

预测 56.33%1.78公平赔率
EV -1.98%
优势 -1.14%
Kelly -2.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.74

博彩公司预测分布
54.72%56.40%56.28%58.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.661.671.7464.10%60.16%59.88%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ipswich Town (客队)

预测 19.13%5.23公平赔率
EV +0.073%
优势 +0.014%
Kelly +0.017%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.23

博彩公司预测分布
18.15%19.07%19.08%20.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.814.755.2323.81%20.81%21.05%19.12%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.53%4.08公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.342%
Kelly -0.455%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.02

博彩公司预测分布
23.59%24.53%24.64%25.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.793.804.0228.57%26.36%26.32%24.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Everton (主队)：56.33%；Ipswich Town (客队)：19.13%；平局：24.53%。 对于“Ipswich Town (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.226。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为5.230，由此产生+0.073%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.64%EV -1.98%E -1.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.84%EV +0.073%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.52%EV -1.37%E -0.342%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.74%E -5.40%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -0.501%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.69%EV -3.67%E -2.15%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.82%EV -1.46%E -0.283%K -0.351%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.48%EV -2.85%E -0.719%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.46%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -2.41%E -0.473%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -9.31%E -5.78%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -2.41%E -0.473%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.86%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.80%E -2.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -8.74%E -5.40%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.74%E -5.40%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -6.24%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -6.24%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -8.15%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -6.49%E -3.91%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -8.15%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.24%E -2.49%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:02
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -10.07%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.03%EV -8.74%E -5.40%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -10.07%E -2.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.66%EV -9.72%E -2.64%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.93%E -3.55%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.75%EV -7.62%E -4.64%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.95%EV -10.43%E -6.56%K -17.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -5.36%E -3.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -8.74%E -5.40%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.22%EV -12.12%E -7.77%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.27%EV -12.90%E -3.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-05 23:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 32.85%1.35I 74.07%NM 33.82%1.37I 72.99%NM 33.33%119.0%2026-09-06 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 32.52%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.74%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.74%179.6%2026-09-05 23:05