Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Crystal Palace v Manchester City

2026-08-28 19:00 UTC — EPL

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Crystal Palace (Local)

Previsão 17.44%5.73odd justa
EV +0.272%
Vantagem +0.047%
Kelly +0.057%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.60%17.54%17.45%19.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.605.355.405.7521.74%18.69%18.52%17.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Manchester City (Visitante)

Previsão 60.29%1.66odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -2.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.14%60.12%60.33%61.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.571.571.6366.67%63.81%63.69%61.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.28%4.49odd justa
EV -0.428%
Vantagem -0.096%
Kelly -0.123%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.81%22.33%22.22%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.184.204.4725.64%23.93%23.81%22.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Crystal Palace (Local): 17.44%; Manchester City (Visitante): 60.29%; Empate: 22.28%. Para Crystal Palace (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 5.73. 5 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 5.75, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.272%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 17.01%EV +0.272%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.76%EV -2.94%E -1.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.23%EV -1.99%E -0.452%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-22 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 17.01%EV +0.272%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.76%EV -2.94%E -1.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.23%EV -1.99%E -0.452%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-22 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 17.01%EV +0.272%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.76%EV -2.94%E -1.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.23%EV -1.99%E -0.452%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-22 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 17.01%EV +0.272%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.76%EV -2.94%E -1.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.23%EV -1.99%E -0.452%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-22 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +0.272%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -5.95%E -3.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -4.22%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 00:04
Betsson🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.72%EV -0.600%E -0.105%K -0.128%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -4.75%E -3.01%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.96%EV -7.56%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 20:49
NordicBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.72%EV -0.600%E -0.105%K -0.128%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -4.75%E -3.01%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.96%EV -7.56%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 20:49
1xBet🎯5.64I 17.73%NM 17.48%EV -1.65%E -0.292%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.47%EV -1.73%E -1.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 22.05%EV -0.428%E -0.096%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-22 20:54
SportsBet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -2.34%E -0.418%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.31%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.45%EV -3.22%E -0.579%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.54%EV -3.54%E -2.21%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -1.99%E -0.452%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-22 20:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -4.09%E -0.743%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.12%EV -4.15%E -2.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 22:45
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.09%E -0.743%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -5.95%E -3.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.22%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 18:59
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -4.09%E -0.743%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -5.95%E -3.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.22%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 19:50
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.09%E -0.743%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.35%E -3.41%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 19:44
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.09%E -0.743%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.35%E -3.41%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 22:09
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.09%E -0.743%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -6.56%E -4.23%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 20:54
FanDuel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.09%E -0.743%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 22:05
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -4.09%E -0.743%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.56%E -4.23%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 02:39
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -4.09%E -0.743%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 02:39
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -4.09%E -0.743%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 02:40
GTbets🎯5.49I 18.21%NM 17.51%EV -4.26%E -0.776%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.71%EV -2.94%E -1.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.78%EV -6.00%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 18:59
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.83%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -5.35%E -3.41%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -4.22%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 22:14
Grosvenor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.51%EV -5.83%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.24%EV -5.35%E -3.41%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 22:45
BetRivers🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.51%EV -5.83%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.24%EV -5.35%E -3.41%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 22:45
Casumo🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.51%EV -5.83%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.24%EV -5.35%E -3.41%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 22:45
Bally Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.51%EV -5.83%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.24%EV -5.35%E -3.41%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -5.83%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.39%EV -5.95%E -3.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 22:45
Pinnacle🎯5.34I 18.73%NM 17.76%EV -6.88%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.40%EV -5.35%E -3.41%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.85%EV -3.32%E -0.766%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 22:40
betPARX🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -7.58%E -1.43%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -5.95%E -3.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 22:45
PMU (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -7.58%E -1.43%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -5.95%E -3.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 22:44
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.45%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -4.75%E -3.01%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.45%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -4.75%E -3.01%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 19:40
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -8.45%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -4.75%E -3.01%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 22:05
LeoVegas🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.45%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.35%E -3.41%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 19:50
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.45%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -5.35%E -3.41%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 22:05
Dabble (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.45%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.56%E -4.23%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 20:54
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.45%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.91%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.63%EV -9.78%E -2.42%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 21:59
MyBookie.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -9.32%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -5.95%E -3.82%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 22:03
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -9.32%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.66%EV -6.56%E -4.23%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -9.32%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -7.16%E -4.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.06%E -2.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -6.56%E -4.23%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.06%E -2.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -6.56%E -4.23%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 22:45
TABtouch🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.06%E -2.17%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -6.56%E -4.23%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 22:45
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.81%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.54%E -2.21%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 19:50
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.81%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.56%E -4.23%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 19:50
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.81%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.35%E -3.41%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 19:54
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.81%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.35%E -3.41%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 19:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.81%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.35%E -3.41%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 19:55
ReBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.81%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.90%EV -7.16%E -4.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -12.01%E -3.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -14.55%E -2.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -7.16%E -4.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -19.78%E -4.30%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.46%EV -9.57%E -6.38%K -19.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -13.13%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-22 21:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-08-23 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.19%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%5.7%2026-08-22 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.19%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%5.7%2026-08-22 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.19%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%5.7%2026-08-22 20:00
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%6.1%2026-08-22 23:00
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%7.1%2026-08-22 22:30

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