The School of Odds
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Brighton and Hove Albion v Newcastle United

2026-11-29 14:05 UTC — EPL

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brighton and Hove Albion (Local)

Prediction 60.74%1.65fair odd
EV -0.987%
Edge -0.606%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.36%60.78%60.71%61.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.531.541.6372.46%65.36%65.15%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Newcastle United (Visit)

Prediction 17.98%5.56fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.201%
Kelly -0.246%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.12%17.91%18.03%19.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.135.225.5022.22%19.48%19.14%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.28%4.70fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.370%
Kelly -0.472%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.93%21.30%21.25%22.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.334.344.6225.00%23.12%23.04%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Brighton and Hove Albion (Local): 60.74%; Newcastle United (Visit): 17.98%; Draw: 21.28%. For Brighton and Hove Albion (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.63, with an expected value of -0.987%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.31%EV -0.987%E -0.606%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.41%EV -3.98%E -0.746%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.28%EV -1.71%E -0.370%K -0.472%G +0.000%1.7%2026-11-09 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.27%EV -3.42%E -2.15%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.43%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.30%EV -4.26%E -0.947%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-09 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -4.02%E -2.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 19:44
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -4.63%E -2.95%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-09 13:39
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.86%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.81%EV -4.16%E -0.781%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.33%EV -5.33%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.26%E -0.947%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-09 21:10
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.26%E -0.947%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-09 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.45%E -4.19%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -7.45%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-09 17:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -7.06%E -4.62%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -9.58%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -7.67%E -5.05%K -14.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.26%E -0.947%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-09 12:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.63%EV -7.67%E -5.05%K -14.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-09 17:45
LeoVegas🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.33%EV -7.67%E -5.05%K -14.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-09 17:44
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -8.28%E -5.48%K -16.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.64%E -2.53%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-09 17:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.02%EV -11.31%E -7.75%K -24.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.07%EV -12.79%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-09 17:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.36%EV -11.92%E -8.22%K -26.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -19.09%E -4.24%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%16.2%2026-11-09 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 61.48%EV -16.17%E -11.72%K -42.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.31%EV -11.89%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.21%EV -14.90%E -3.72%K -4.97%G +0.000%17.9%2026-11-09 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 59.11%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.26%16.7%2026-11-09 17:45

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