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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Brighton and Hove Albion v Newcastle United

2026-11-29 14:05 UTC — EPL

胜负盘

16 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Brighton and Hove Albion (主队)

预测 60.72%1.65公平赔率
EV -1.03%
优势 -0.633%
Kelly -1.64%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布
59.10%60.74%60.71%61.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.381.531.541.6372.46%65.31%65.15%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

Newcastle United (客队)

预测 18.02%5.55公平赔率
EV -0.899%
优势 -0.163%
Kelly -0.200%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布
17.12%17.95%18.04%19.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.405.115.225.5022.73%19.57%19.14%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.27%4.70公平赔率
EV -1.75%
优势 -0.380%
Kelly -0.484%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.62

博彩公司预测分布
20.87%21.31%21.25%22.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.334.344.6225.00%23.12%23.04%21.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Brighton and Hove Albion (主队)：60.72%；Newcastle United (客队)：18.02%；平局：21.27%。 对于“Newcastle United (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.55。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为5.50，期望值为-0.899%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.31%EV -1.03%E -0.633%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.41%EV -3.78%E -0.708%K -0.871%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.28%EV -1.75%E -0.380%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.7%2026-11-09 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.27%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.43%EV -6.30%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.30%EV -4.31%E -0.957%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-09 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -5.40%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -8.56%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-09 19:44
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -4.68%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -0.899%E -0.163%K -0.200%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -7.92%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-09 13:39
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.86%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.81%EV -3.96%E -0.743%K -0.915%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.33%EV -5.37%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -5.40%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.31%E -0.957%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-09 21:10
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -5.40%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -4.31%E -0.957%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-09 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -5.40%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -7.50%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-09 17:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -9.91%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -9.62%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -0.899%E -0.163%K -0.200%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.31%E -0.957%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-09 12:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -11.71%E -2.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.43%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-10 00:20
LeoVegas🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.33%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -9.91%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -8.56%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-09 17:44
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -9.91%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -10.69%E -2.54%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-10 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.75%EV -10.75%E -7.31%K -22.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -13.51%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -14.94%E -3.73%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-10 00:18
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.10%EV -11.96%E -8.25%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.48%EV -20.72%E -4.71%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -14.94%E -3.73%K -4.98%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-10 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 61.26%EV -16.21%E -11.75%K -42.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.61%EV -13.51%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.13%EV -14.94%E -3.73%K -4.98%G +0.000%18.3%2026-11-10 00:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 58.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.26%16.7%2026-11-10 00:20

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