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Bournemouth v Crystal Palace
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bournemouth (Local)
Prediction 54.74%1.83fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.39%54.74%54.85%55.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.741.7960.61%57.45%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crystal Palace (Visit)
Prediction 22.69%4.41fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -0.742%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.46%22.69%22.73%22.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.204.204.3025.00%23.80%23.81%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.57%4.43fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.526%
Kelly -0.683%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.23%22.57%22.42%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.184.204.3325.64%23.95%23.81%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bournemouth (Local): 54.74%; Crystal Palace (Visit): 22.69%; Draw: 22.57%. For Bournemouth (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.79, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -4.08%E -0.960%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-20 08:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -4.08%E -0.960%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -4.08%E -0.960%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -4.08%E -0.960%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -3.10%E -1.75%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -2.28%E -0.526%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.55%EV -3.65%E -2.07%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.98%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -4.08%E -0.960%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 08:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.47%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 08:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.29%E -3.06%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -7.47%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.06%EV -5.84%E -3.40%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.71%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.23%EV -3.86%E -0.905%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 21:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.39%E -3.74%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.47%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -9.67%E -5.86%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.98%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -9.67%E -5.86%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.98%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-20 08:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.