语言:简体中文
Bournemouth v Crystal Palace
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Bournemouth (主队)
预测 54.74%1.83公平赔率
EV -2.01%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -2.54%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.79
博彩公司预测分布
54.39%54.74%54.85%55.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.741.741.7960.61%57.45%57.47%55.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
Crystal Palace (客队)
预测 22.69%4.41公平赔率
EV -2.45%
优势 -0.569%
Kelly -0.742%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.30
博彩公司预测分布
22.46%22.69%22.73%22.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.204.204.3025.00%23.80%23.81%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.57%4.43公平赔率
EV -2.28%
优势 -0.526%
Kelly -0.683%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.33
博彩公司预测分布
22.23%22.57%22.42%23.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.184.204.3325.64%23.95%23.81%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bournemouth (主队)：54.74%；Crystal Palace (客队)：22.69%；平局：22.57%。 对于“Bournemouth (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.83。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.79，期望值为-2.01%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -4.08%E -0.960%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-20 08:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -4.08%E -0.960%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -4.08%E -0.960%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.01%E -1.12%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.45%E -0.569%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -4.08%E -0.960%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -3.10%E -1.75%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -2.28%E -0.526%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.55%EV -3.65%E -2.07%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.98%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -3.58%E -0.843%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -4.08%E -0.960%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 08:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -5.21%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -4.74%E -2.73%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.47%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 08:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.29%E -3.06%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.72%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -7.47%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.06%EV -5.84%E -3.40%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.71%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.23%EV -3.86%E -0.905%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 21:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.39%E -3.74%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.47%E -1.82%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -9.67%E -5.86%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.98%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -9.67%E -5.86%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.25%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.98%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-20 08:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。