Language:English
Aston Villa v Brentford
Head to Head
Aston Villa (Local)
Prediction 33.31%3.00fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.933%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.80%33.28%33.33%34.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.762.772.9240.00%36.18%36.10%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brentford (Visit)
Prediction 39.51%2.53fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.493%
Kelly -0.821%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.54%39.45%39.50%40.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.382.5045.45%42.32%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.18%3.68fair odd
EV -0.525%
Edge -0.143%
Kelly -0.197%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.97%27.26%27.17%28.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.283.443.403.6630.49%29.10%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aston Villa (Local): 33.31%; Brentford (Visit): 39.51%; Draw: 27.18%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.66, with an expected value of -0.525%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.72%EV -2.72%E -0.933%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.38%EV -1.23%E -0.493%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.90%EV -0.525%E -0.143%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.66%EV -4.06%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -2.81%E -1.14%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -2.16%E -0.599%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.06%E -1.77%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.16%E -0.599%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 17:11 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 17:11 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.14%EV -7.06%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.51%EV -7.55%E -3.23%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.39%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.16%E -0.599%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.39%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.16%E -0.599%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.39%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.39%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.39%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.21%EV -8.72%E -3.18%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.39%EV -8.74%E -3.78%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.41%EV -9.77%E -2.94%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -9.39%E -3.45%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.00%EV -11.90%E -5.34%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.20%EV -10.85%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-12 17:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 17:41 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -13.08%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -11.72%E -4.42%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -3.51%E -0.990%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -16.72%E -6.69%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.08%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42% | 187.7% | 2026-09-12 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42% | 187.7% | 2026-09-12 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42% | 187.7% | 2026-09-12 19:00 |