Language:English
Aston Villa v Brentford
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aston Villa (Local)
Prediction 36.08%2.77fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.874%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.79%36.08%36.06%36.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.592.602.7341.15%38.54%38.46%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brentford (Visit)
Prediction 37.11%2.69fair odd
EV -0.534%
Edge -0.199%
Kelly -0.318%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.17%37.11%37.11%37.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.532.502.6842.19%39.48%40.00%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.81%3.73fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.588%
Kelly -0.810%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%26.82%26.83%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.503.6530.77%28.60%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aston Villa (Local): 36.08%; Brentford (Visit): 37.11%; Draw: 26.81%. For Brentford (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.68, with an expected value of -0.534%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (68 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 36.06%EV -1.51%E -0.554%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.74%EV -0.534%E -0.199%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.20%EV -2.95%E -0.815%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-10-05 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -2.59%E -0.961%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.11%EV -3.32%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.08%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -3.22%E -0.891%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-05 08:11 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.47%EV -3.32%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.13%EV -4.99%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.40%EV -6.97%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.36%EV -3.32%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.17%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.19%EV -3.68%E -1.38%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.74%EV -2.39%E -0.909%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-28 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.19%EV -3.68%E -1.38%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.74%EV -2.39%E -0.909%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -4.29%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-28 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.94%EV -3.68%E -1.38%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.19%EV -4.25%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.88%EV -4.29%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.04%EV -4.04%E -1.52%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.73%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.23%EV -5.63%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.68%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.68%EV -1.65%E -0.622%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -2.15%E -0.588%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 09:16 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.68%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.68%EV -1.65%E -0.622%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -2.15%E -0.588%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.68%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.68%EV -1.65%E -0.622%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -2.15%E -0.588%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.68%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.68%EV -1.65%E -0.622%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -2.15%E -0.588%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -3.49%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -3.49%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 08:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 08:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.40%E -1.66%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.18%EV -5.12%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.17%EV -4.99%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65%EV -4.29%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 03:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -5.12%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 08:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -5.12%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.48%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.48%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 08:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.90%EV -5.84%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.33%EV -6.84%E -2.73%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 17:27 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.49%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 09:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.49%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 00:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.49%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-22 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.50%E -1.35%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 00:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 08:12 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 05:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 08:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 14:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.20%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 14:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.04%EV -7.28%E -2.83%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -7.59%E -3.05%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -7.24%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.68%EV -7.28%E -2.83%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.89%EV -10.18%E -4.21%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.43%EV -6.97%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 18:13 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.49%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 00:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.49%E -0.968%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 15:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.52%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -2.15%E -0.588%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 07:28 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 13:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.01%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 18:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.10%EV -9.09%E -3.61%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -9.07%E -3.70%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-02 18:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -5.36%E -2.10%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.51%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 09:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-02 08:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.21%E -2.89%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.81%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-02 18:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.93%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.53%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-05 13:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.87%EV -11.61%E -4.74%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.08%EV -12.04%E -5.08%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.87%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-05 07:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.97%EV -12.33%E -5.08%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.22%EV -7.96%E -3.21%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.19%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-25 11:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 1.0% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |