赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Aston Villa v Brentford

2026-10-10 14:00 UTC — EPL

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aston Villa (主队)

预测 33.31%3.00公平赔率
EV -2.72%
优势 -0.933%
Kelly -1.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.92

博彩公司预测分布
32.80%33.28%33.33%34.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.762.772.9240.00%36.18%36.10%34.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Brentford (客队)

预测 39.51%2.53公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.493%
Kelly -0.821%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
38.54%39.45%39.50%40.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.362.382.5045.45%42.32%42.02%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.18%3.68公平赔率
EV -0.525%
优势 -0.143%
Kelly -0.197%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.66

博彩公司预测分布
25.97%27.26%27.17%28.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.283.443.403.6630.49%29.10%29.41%27.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Aston Villa (主队)：33.31%；Brentford (客队)：39.51%；平局：27.18%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.68。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.66，期望值为-0.525%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.72%EV -2.72%E -0.933%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.38%EV -1.23%E -0.493%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.90%EV -0.525%E -0.143%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-12 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.66%EV -4.06%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -2.81%E -1.14%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -2.16%E -0.599%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 17:40
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.06%E -1.77%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:35
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.16%E -0.599%K -0.829%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:10
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:11
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 17:10
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 17:11
MyBookie.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.14%EV -7.06%E -2.53%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.51%EV -7.55%E -3.23%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.35%EV -8.13%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:10
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.39%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.16%E -0.599%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.39%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.16%E -0.599%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 17:15
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.39%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:15
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.39%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 17:15
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.39%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 17:10
ReBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.21%EV -8.72%E -3.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.39%EV -8.74%E -3.78%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.41%EV -9.77%E -2.94%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -9.39%E -3.45%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.00%EV -11.90%E -5.34%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.20%EV -10.85%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 17:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 17:41
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -13.08%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-12 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -11.72%E -4.42%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -3.51%E -0.990%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -16.72%E -6.69%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.08%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-12 17:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-09-12 19:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-09-12 19:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-09-12 19:00