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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Arsenal v Chelsea

2026-09-06 15:30 UTC — EPL

獨贏

32 家博彩公司 (10 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Arsenal (主隊)

預測 57.09%1.75公平賠率
EV -1.80%
優勢 -1.05%
Kelly -2.50%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.72

博彩公司預測分布
55.00%56.90%57.00%57.85%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.541.641.651.7264.94%60.95%60.61%58.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Chelsea (客隊)

預測 18.24%5.48公平賠率
EV -1.49%
優勢 -0.275%
Kelly -0.338%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.40

博彩公司預測分布
17.68%18.48%18.26%20.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.404.975.005.4022.73%20.13%20.00%18.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 24.66%4.05公平賠率
EV -0.364%
優勢 -0.090%
Kelly -0.120%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.04

博彩公司預測分布
23.84%24.62%24.74%25.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.503.783.754.0428.57%26.43%26.67%24.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為：Arsenal (主隊)：57.09%；Chelsea (客隊)：18.24%；和局：24.66%。 對於「和局」，該估計相當於4.05的公平十進位賠率。 沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率：目前最佳賠率為4.04，期望值為-0.364%，未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (32 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.29%EV -1.80%E -1.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.32%EV -1.85%E -0.344%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.39%EV -0.364%E -0.090%K -0.120%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-23 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.36%EV -3.51%E -2.08%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV -3.31%E -0.625%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.35%EV -1.84%E -0.463%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 15:44
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -4.22%E -0.804%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -1.35%E -0.338%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 15:15
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.35%E -0.338%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 15:05
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.82%E -0.979%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.82%E -0.979%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:34
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 14:49
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 15:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.52%EV -5.22%E -3.15%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.49%E -0.275%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.05%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 19:34
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.46%EV -5.22%E -3.15%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -6.96%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.35%E -0.338%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -2.58%E -0.654%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -5.13%E -0.987%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -3.82%E -0.979%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.22%E -0.804%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 19:33
Dabble (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 17:59
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -16.08%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -16.08%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 15:34
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -6.94%E -4.26%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:00
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.51%E -4.63%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.82%E -0.979%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.51%E -4.63%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 14:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -7.51%E -4.63%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -6.96%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 19:38
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.51%E -4.63%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 15:14
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.51%E -4.63%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 19:39
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.00%EV -7.51%E -4.63%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -19.73%E -4.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 15:33
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.08%E -5.02%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -6.96%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.82%E -0.979%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 14:55
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.08%E -5.02%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 19:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -8.65%E -5.41%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -10.61%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 19:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -9.22%E -5.80%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 19:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.69%EV -10.93%E -7.01%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -10.61%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 19:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.11%EV -12.07%E -7.84%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -17.90%E -3.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.69%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-23 15:05
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 55.29%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.08%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%5.2%2026-08-23 19:34
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 55.73%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.62%16.5%2026-08-23 19:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 30.56%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.72%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.72%161.8%2026-08-23 19:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 30.56%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.72%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.72%161.8%2026-08-23 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 30.26%1.09I 91.74%NM 34.71%1.08I 92.59%NM 35.03%164.3%2026-08-23 19:34