Idioma:Español
Arsenal v Chelsea
Resultado del partido
Arsenal (Local)
Predicción 57.09%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -2.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.00%56.90%57.00%57.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.541.641.651.7264.94%60.95%60.61%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chelsea (Visitante)
Predicción 18.24%5.48momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.275%
Kelly -0.338%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.68%18.48%18.26%20.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.975.005.4022.73%20.13%20.00%18.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.66%4.05momio equitativo
EV -0.364%
Ventaja -0.090%
Kelly -0.120%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.84%24.62%24.74%25.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.783.754.0428.57%26.43%26.67%24.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Arsenal (Local): 57.09%; Chelsea (Visitante): 18.24%; Empate: 24.66%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.05. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 4.04, con un valor esperado de -0.364%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.29%EV -1.80%E -1.05%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 18.32%EV -1.85%E -0.344%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.39%EV -0.364%E -0.090%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-23 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.36%EV -3.51%E -2.08%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV -3.31%E -0.625%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.35%EV -1.84%E -0.463%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 15:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -4.22%E -0.804%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -1.35%E -0.338%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.35%E -0.338%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.82%E -0.979%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.82%E -0.979%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -4.65%E -2.79%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.52%EV -5.22%E -3.15%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -1.49%E -0.275%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.05%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.46%EV -5.22%E -3.15%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -6.96%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.35%E -0.338%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -2.58%E -0.654%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -5.13%E -0.987%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -3.82%E -0.979%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.22%E -0.804%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 19:33 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -16.08%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -16.08%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -6.94%E -4.26%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.51%E -4.63%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.82%E -0.979%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.51%E -4.63%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.96%EV -7.51%E -4.63%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -6.96%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 19:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.51%E -4.63%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 15:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.51%E -4.63%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.00%EV -7.51%E -4.63%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.25%EV -19.73%E -4.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 15:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.08%E -5.02%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -6.96%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.82%E -0.979%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -8.08%E -5.02%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -8.65%E -5.41%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -10.61%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -9.22%E -5.80%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -8.78%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-23 19:33 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.69%EV -10.93%E -7.01%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -10.61%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.11%EV -12.07%E -7.84%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -17.90%E -3.98%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.69%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.29% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.08% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.73% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.62% | 16.5% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 30.56% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.72% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.72% | 161.8% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 30.56% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.72% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.72% | 161.8% | 2026-08-23 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 30.26% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 34.71% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 35.03% | 164.3% | 2026-08-23 19:34 |