Language:English
Walsall v Rochdale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Walsall (Local)
Prediction 45.90%2.18fair odd
EV -5.90%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -5.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.10%45.92%47.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.982.002.0553.48%50.57%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rochdale (Visit)
Prediction 27.99%3.57fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.577%
Kelly -0.808%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.87%27.79%27.99%28.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.343.303.5031.25%29.94%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.562%
Kelly -0.766%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.88%26.11%26.10%26.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.483.7530.30%28.59%28.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Walsall (Local): 45.90%; Rochdale (Visit): 27.99%; Draw: 26.10%. For Rochdale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -2.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 08:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 08:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.04%EV -6.36%E -3.12%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.95%EV -5.94%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.01%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.36%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.31%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -7.28%E -3.60%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -7.28%E -3.60%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -7.28%E -3.60%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.13%EV -7.74%E -3.85%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 08:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 08:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -8.66%E -4.35%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -9.12%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -9.12%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 21:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -10.03%E -5.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:53 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.41%E -5.91%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.02%E -0.577%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -13.25%E -7.01%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -12.55%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -13.71%E -7.29%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -12.55%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -14.17%E -7.58%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -14.17%E -7.58%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 07:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |