Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Walsall v Rochdale

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Score final : Walsall 0–0 Rochdale

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Walsall (Local)

Prévision 45.90%2.18cote équitable
EV -5.90%
Avantage -2.88%
Kelly -5.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.31%46.10%45.92%47.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.871.982.002.0553.48%50.57%50.00%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rochdale (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.99%3.57cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.577%
Kelly -0.808%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.87%27.79%27.99%28.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.343.303.5031.25%29.94%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.10%3.83cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.562%
Kelly -0.766%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.88%26.11%26.10%26.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.503.483.7530.30%28.59%28.78%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Walsall (Local) : 45.90% ; Rochdale (Visiteur) : 27.99% ; Match nul : 26.10%. Pour Rochdale (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.57. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.50, pour une espérance de -2.02% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 08:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 08:39
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 08:40
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 08:39
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.04%EV -6.36%E -3.12%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.95%EV -5.94%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.01%EV -5.76%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 08:45
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.36%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.31%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:51
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -7.28%E -3.60%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.766%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -7.28%E -3.60%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 17:06
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -7.28%E -3.60%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.13%EV -7.74%E -3.85%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.11%E -0.562%K -0.766%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 16:20
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 13:35
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 08:34
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 08:40
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.33%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 16:20
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 08:35
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:39
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -8.20%E -4.10%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -8.66%E -4.35%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -9.12%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 21:25
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -9.12%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 21:24
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -10.03%E -5.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.41%E -0.922%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 16:20
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 16:53
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 16:53
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.02%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-07 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.41%E -5.91%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.02%E -0.577%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:25
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:25
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:25
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:25
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:25
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -12.33%E -6.46%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.24%E -3.31%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 07:25
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -13.25%E -7.01%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -12.55%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-08 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -13.71%E -7.29%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -3.42%E -0.991%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -12.55%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -14.17%E -7.58%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -14.17%E -7.58%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 07:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%3.2%2026-09-09 17:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%3.2%2026-09-09 17:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%3.6%2026-09-09 17:40
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.18%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%3.6%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%4.0%2026-09-09 17:06