Language:English
Walsall v Harrogate Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Walsall (Local)
Prediction 43.96%2.27fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.90%44.01%43.99%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.082.2050.00%47.86%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Harrogate Town (Visit)
Prediction 29.32%3.41fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -0.980%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.91%29.37%29.31%30.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.173.3033.33%31.64%31.50%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.72%3.74fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.310%
Kelly -0.424%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%26.61%26.70%28.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.443.403.7033.33%29.04%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Walsall (Local): 43.96%; Harrogate Town (Visit): 29.32%; Draw: 26.72%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 19:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.23%E -0.980%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 15:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 19:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 19:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.03%EV -7.25%E -3.43%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -1.15%E -0.310%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 15:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.83%E -3.59%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.83%E -3.59%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.83%E -3.59%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.83%E -3.59%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.05%EV -8.13%E -3.89%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.52%EV -1.41%E -0.383%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.76%EV -9.44%E -4.58%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.76%EV -9.44%E -4.58%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-20 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-22 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.70%EV -10.32%E -5.06%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -2.75%E -0.755%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.20%E -5.55%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -2.75%E -0.755%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -11.20%E -5.55%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -19.85%E -6.62%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.10% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.20% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.12% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.12% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.12% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.75% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |