La escuela de los momios

Walsall v Harrogate Town

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Walsall (Local)

Predicción 43.96%2.27momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -2.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.90%44.01%43.99%45.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.082.2050.00%47.86%48.08%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Harrogate Town (Visitante)

Predicción 29.32%3.41momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -0.980%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.91%29.37%29.31%30.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.163.173.3033.33%31.64%31.50%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.72%3.74momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.310%
Kelly -0.424%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.28%26.61%26.70%28.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.443.403.7033.33%29.04%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 19:50
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.23%E -0.980%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:28
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 19:50
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 19:50
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:59
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:00
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 15:20
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 19:50
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 43.03%EV -7.25%E -3.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 15:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -1.15%E -0.310%K -0.424%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 14:05
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:18
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 18:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 11:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 19:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 15:19
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 14:04
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 15:19
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.83%E -3.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 15:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.83%E -3.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 16:00
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.83%E -3.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.83%E -3.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 16:00
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.05%EV -8.13%E -3.89%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.52%EV -1.41%E -0.383%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:29
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 02:05
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 02:05
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 13:54
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 13:54
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 13:54
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 13:54
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 13:54
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 13:54
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 13:55
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 13:54
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 13:54
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.57%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 44.76%EV -9.44%E -4.58%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:20
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 44.76%EV -9.44%E -4.58%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:20
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 13:54
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 13:54
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:24
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:24
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 09:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 15:20
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.70%EV -10.32%E -5.06%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -2.75%E -0.755%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:45
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -11.20%E -5.55%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -2.75%E -0.755%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:45
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -11.20%E -5.55%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-24 02:05
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -9.10%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -19.85%E -6.62%K -9.92%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-22 14:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.10%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.20%3.6%2026-04-24 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%4.5%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%4.5%2026-04-24 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%4.5%2026-04-24 02:30
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%5.4%2026-04-24 03:40