Language:English
Walsall v Grimsby Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Walsall (Local)
Prediction 31.55%3.17fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.706%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.40%31.51%31.53%32.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.922.903.1035.71%34.19%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grimsby Town (Visit)
Prediction 40.81%2.45fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.57%40.80%40.82%42.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.282.3846.51%43.96%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.64%3.62fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.771%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%27.69%27.65%29.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.303.5232.79%30.47%30.30%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Walsall (Local): 31.55%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 40.81%; Draw: 27.64%. For Walsall (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -2.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.19%E -0.706%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV -2.51%E -0.811%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.03%EV -7.36%E -3.24%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.10%EV -2.71%E -0.771%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -8.24%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 11:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.22%E -4.64%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.10%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 11:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -5.32%E -2.29%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -5.32%E -2.29%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.22%E -4.64%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 11:08 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.83%EV -7.24%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -4.91%E -2.11%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.01%EV -7.69%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 11:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -10.22%E -4.64%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:23 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -12.26%E -5.70%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 11:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -12.94%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -15.70%E -5.15%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -8.99%E -4.03%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.70%E -5.15%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -8.99%E -4.03%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.70%E -5.15%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.66%E -4.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.22%E -4.64%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58% | 2.2% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |